OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Asane
Aalesund
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Valerenga
|
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | +29 | 42 |
| 2 |
Bryne
|
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | +10 | 35 |
| 3 |
Stabaek
|
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | +6 | 32 |
| 4 |
Moss
|
18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | +5 | 32 |
| 5 |
Egersund
|
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | +4 | 32 |
| 6 |
Sogndal
|
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | +9 | 30 |
| 7 |
Lyn
|
18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | +15 | 28 |
| 8 |
Kongsvinger
|
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | +0 | 28 |
| 9 |
Raufoss
|
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 23 |
| 10 |
Levanger
|
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 21 |
| 11 |
Ranheim
|
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -3 | 21 |
| 12 |
Mjondalen
|
19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -8 | 18 |
| 13 |
Aalesund
|
18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |
Asane
|
18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -9 | 17 |
| 15 |
Start
|
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -15 | 17 |
| 16 |
Sandnes ULF
|
19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -30 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
E. Lucky
Coach: E. Bakke
T. Larsen
M. Nielsen
N. Hopland
H. Hammer
D. Jóhannsson
M. Rafferty
Cláudio Braga
Coach: K. Rekdal
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Asane
Bryne
Sandnes ULF
Asane
Asane
Raufoss
Lyn
Asane
Asane
Moss
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.