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Champions League
Referee: G Nyberg
Dinamo Zagreb
S S U S T
3–0
Full-time
Qarabag
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dinamo Zagreb Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
4,7
Scored
1,7
3,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
20 Shots 18
9 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Dinamo Zagreb Qarabag
T. Ogiwara 🔁
↦ S. Ristovski
21′
1–0 M. Pjaca ⚽
29′
Half-time 1–0
Petar Sučić 🟨
56′
62′
🟨 Júlio Romão
M. Bernauer 🔁
↦ M. Pjaca
63′
S. Kulenović 🔁
↦ A. Hoxha
63′
Sandro Kulenović 🟨
69′
74′
🔁 T. Bayramov
↦ Leandro Andrade
2–0 S. Kulenović ⚽
M. Baturina
75′
M. Rog 🔁
↦ P. Sučić
77′
J. Córdoba 🔁
↦ B. Petković
77′
3–0 S. Kulenović ⚽
80′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Dinamo Zagreb

4-1-4-1
33 I. Nevistić G
22 S. Ristovski D
28 K. Théophile-Catherine D
13 S. Mmaee D
18 R. Pierre-Gabriel D
27 J. Mišić M
20 M. Pjaca M
25 P. Sučić M
10 M. Baturina M
11 A. Hoxha M
9 B. Petković F
Bench (12)
3 T. Ogiwara
6 M. Bernauer
17 S. Kulenović
30 M. Rog
19 J. Córdoba
8 L. Kačavenda
36 L. Vrbančić
66 B. Pavić
77 D. Špikić
4 Raúl Torrente
1 D. Zagorac
23 I. Filipović

Coach: S. Jakirović

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
97 F. Buntić G
2 Matheus Silva D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
6 Júlio Romão M
66 Patrick Andrade M
15 Leandro Andrade M
7 Y. Benzia M
10 A. Zoubir M
18 Juninho F
Bench (11)
27 T. Bayramov
20 R. Almeyda
19 R. Xhixha
30 A. Hüseynov
24 A. Isaev
99 M. Kochalski
22 M. Qurbanlı
17 H. Keyta
55 B. Hüseynov
12 S. Məmmədzadə
90 N. Axundzadə

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.