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Süper Lig

Referee: T Numanoğlu

Kayserispor

T U T S S

1–0

Full-time

Alanyaspor

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Alanyaspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

50%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,2

0,9

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,11 xG 1,22

58% Possession 42%

12 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 5

3 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 7. · Alanyaspor 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	11	10	1	0	+15	+15.3	31
2	Fenerbahce	11	10	0	1	+23	+22.6	30
3	Ad. Demirspor	11	6	3	2	+11	+4.1	21
4	Trabzonspor	11	6	1	4	+6	-1.9	19
5	Besiktas	11	6	1	4	+3	+5.8	19
6	Kasimpasa	11	5	3	3	-1	-4.0	18
7	Kayserispor	10	4	4	2	+2	-1.7	16
8	Antalyaspor	11	4	3	4	+0	-1.3	15
9	Hatayspor	11	3	5	3	+3	+3.0	14
10	Sivasspor	11	3	5	3	-1	+0.7	14
11	Rizespor	10	4	2	4	-5	-5.7	14
12	Ankaragücü	11	3	4	4	+3	-1.5	13
13	Karagumruk	11	2	5	4	+0	-5.9	11
14	Alanyaspor	10	2	4	4	-4	-0.5	10
15	Konyaspor	11	2	4	5	-6	-4.4	10
16	Pendikspor	11	2	4	5	-11	-5.4	10
17	Buyuksehyr	11	2	3	6	-7	-3.6	9
18	Gaziantep	10	3	0	7	-10	-6.8	9
19	Samsunspor	10	1	2	7	-10	+0.6	5
20	İstanbulspor	10	1	2	7	-11	-9.3	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ad. Demirspor	6	6	0	0	+14	+6.2	18
2	Fenerbahce	6	5	0	1	+12	+12.9	15
3	Galatasaray	5	5	0	0	+7	+8.1	15
4	Besiktas	5	4	1	0	+7	+5.4	13
5	Trabzonspor	5	4	0	1	+5	+2.2	12
6	Kayserispor	5	3	2	0	+5	+3.3	11
7	Antalyaspor	6	3	2	1	+2	-0.9	11
8	Kasimpasa	6	3	1	2	-2	-3.3	10
9	Ankaragücü	5	2	2	1	+4	+2.3	8
10	Hatayspor	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.5	8
11	Alanyaspor	6	2	2	2	+1	+1.8	8
12	Rizespor	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.0	8
13	Karagumruk	6	1	3	2	+0	-3.2	6
14	Gaziantep	4	2	0	2	-2	-1.1	6
15	Konyaspor	6	1	2	3	-2	-0.8	5
16	Buyuksehyr	5	1	1	3	-2	-2.6	4
17	Samsunspor	4	1	1	2	-2	+1.1	4
18	Sivasspor	6	0	4	2	-3	+1.8	4
19	İstanbulspor	6	1	1	4	-5	-6.8	4
20	Pendikspor	5	0	2	3	-10	-6.3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	6	5	1	0	+8	+7.3	16
2	Fenerbahce	5	5	0	0	+11	+9.7	15
3	Sivasspor	5	3	1	1	+2	-1.1	10
4	Kasimpasa	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.8	8
5	Pendikspor	6	2	2	2	-1	+1.0	8
6	Trabzonspor	6	2	1	3	+1	-4.2	7
7	Hatayspor	6	1	3	2	+1	+0.5	6
8	Besiktas	6	2	0	4	-4	+0.4	6
9	Rizespor	5	2	0	3	-6	-5.8	6
10	Karagumruk	5	1	2	2	+0	-2.6	5
11	Ankaragücü	6	1	2	3	-1	-3.8	5
12	Kayserispor	5	1	2	2	-3	-5.0	5
13	Konyaspor	5	1	2	2	-4	-3.6	5
14	Buyuksehyr	6	1	2	3	-5	-0.9	5
15	Antalyaspor	5	1	1	3	-2	-0.4	4
16	Ad. Demirspor	5	0	3	2	-3	-2.1	3
17	Gaziantep	6	1	0	5	-8	-5.7	3
18	Alanyaspor	4	0	2	2	-5	-2.3	2
19	İstanbulspor	4	0	1	3	-6	-2.6	1
20	Samsunspor	6	0	1	5	-8	-0.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.