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Süper Lig
Referee: T Numanoğlu
Alanyaspor
U S T U U
3–1
Full-time
Kayserispor
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Kayserispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 15/14 matches
Win Ø 39%
27%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
53%
57%
Both score Ø 52%
60%
43%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

43% Possession 57%
5 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 7
1 Offside 3
23 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 9. · Kayserispor 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 15 10 2 3 +24 32
2 Galatasaray 14 9 3 2 +14 30
3 Buyuksehyr 15 9 3 3 +8 30
4 Ad. Demirspor 14 7 6 1 +11 27
5 Trabzonspor 14 7 5 2 +5 26
6 Konyaspor 15 6 7 2 +7 25
7 Besiktas 14 6 5 3 +8 23
8 Kayserispor 14 7 2 5 +5 23
9 Alanyaspor 15 4 6 5 -5 18
10 Gaziantep 14 4 5 5 +0 17
11 Ankaragücü 15 4 4 7 -4 16
12 Antalyaspor 14 5 1 8 -6 16
13 Giresunspor 14 4 4 6 -7 16
14 Kasimpasa 14 4 3 7 -12 15
15 Hatayspor 15 4 3 8 -14 15
16 Sivasspor 15 3 5 7 -5 14
17 Karagumruk 14 3 4 7 -4 13
18 Ümraniyespor 15 2 4 9 -10 10
19 İstanbulspor 14 2 2 10 -15 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Kayserispor
1–0 Koka
Ivan Cavaleiro
21′
Arnaud Lusamba ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
23′
29′
🟨 Bernard Mensah
Yusuf Ozdemir 🟨
32′
2–0 Y. Özdemir
R. Rúnarsson
36′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Karimi
↦ Gustavo Campanharo
Ivan Cavaleiro 🟨
47′
E. Bekiroğlu 🔁
↦ A. Lusamba
56′
Pedro Pereira 🔁
↦ Y. Özdemir
56′
O. Aydın 🔁
↦ Ivan Cavaleiro
56′
59′
A. Karimi 2–1
R. Civelek
61′
🟨 Lionel Carole
62′
🔁 M. Pektemek
↦ R. Civelek
Wilson Eduardo 🔁
↦ Koka
63′
3–1 E. Karaca
72′
76′
🔁 Carlos Mané
↦ E. Başsan
76′
🔁 İ. Parlak
↦ M. Gavranović
78′
🟨 Miguel Cardoso
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson 🟨
80′
J. Balkovec 🔁
↦ Candeias
84′
86′
🔁 T. Sarıarslan
↦ Miguel Cardoso
98′
🟨 Ali Karimi
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

3-4-2-1
13 R. Rúnarsson G
4 F. Bayır D
8 L. Fer D
20 F. Aksoy D
21 Candeias M
6 U. Güneş M
97 A. Lusamba M
88 Y. Özdemir M
7 E. Karaca F
19 Ivan Cavaleiro F
93 Koka F
Bench (10)
11 E. Bekiroğlu
27 Pedro Pereira
70 O. Aydın
17 Wilson Eduardo
29 J. Balkovec
39 K. Erciyas
23 J. Rassoul
10 Z. Ferhat
99 Y. Karagöz
34 İ. Zehir

Coach: F. Farioli

Kayserispor

3-4-1-2
25 B. Bayazıt G
38 O. Bulut D
4 D. Kolovetsios D
21 L. Carole D
11 G. Sazdağı M
88 Gustavo Campanharo M
43 B. Mensah M
7 Miguel Cardoso M
28 R. Civelek F
17 E. Başsan F
19 M. Gavranović F
Bench (10)
6 A. Karimi
9 M. Pektemek
20 Carlos Mané
23 İ. Parlak
30 T. Sarıarslan
1 C. Gönen
89 Y. Ackah
54 A. Kocaman
26 B. Gezek
80 A. Uzodimma

Coach: Ç. Atan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,09
U
3,65
B
3,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,12
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Numanoğlu · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.