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Süper Lig
Referee: H Meler
Ankaragücü
S U T S U
1–1
Full-time
Rizespor
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Rizespor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
43%
Both score Ø 54%
64%
43%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,67 xG 1,33
32% Possession 68%
15 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 1
11 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ankaragücü 12. · Rizespor 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 15 13 1 1 +29 +28.0 40
2 Galatasaray 15 13 1 1 +22 +22.4 40
3 Kayserispor 15 8 5 2 +7 -2.4 29
4 Trabzonspor 15 8 2 5 +8 -0.4 26
5 Besiktas 15 8 2 5 +3 +5.8 26
6 Ad. Demirspor 15 6 5 4 +8 -0.6 23
7 Antalyaspor 15 6 5 4 +5 -0.3 23
8 Kasimpasa 15 6 3 6 -4 -5.8 21
9 Rizespor 14 6 3 5 -5 -6.5 21
10 Hatayspor 15 4 6 5 +2 +4.3 18
11 Karagumruk 15 4 5 6 +4 -4.2 17
12 Ankaragücü 14 4 5 5 +0 -2.1 17
13 Buyuksehyr 15 4 3 8 -5 -5.9 15
14 Sivasspor 14 3 6 5 -7 -0.5 15
15 Gaziantep 15 5 0 10 -10 -5.4 15
16 Konyaspor 14 3 5 6 -5 -4.0 14
17 Samsunspor 15 4 2 9 -8 +2.8 14
18 Alanyaspor 15 3 5 7 -11 -2.5 14
19 Pendikspor 15 3 4 8 -17 -9.2 13
20 İstanbulspor 15 2 2 11 -16 -13.6 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Rizespor
Renaldo Cephas 🟨
7′
Ali Sowe ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
11′
1–0 O. Moruțan
A. Güneren
14′
33′
🟨 Emirhan Topçu
39′
🟨 Altin Zeqiri
Ali Sowe 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
T. Chatzigiovanis 🔁
↦ R. Cephas
46′
Ali Sowe 🟨
50′
Ali Sowe 🟥
50′
59′
🔁 A. Gaich
↦ A. Zeqiri
66′
🟨 Martin Minchev
70′
🔁 Óscar Pinchi
↦ D. Varešanović
70′
🔁 B. Keser
↦ Gustavo Sauer
F. Macheda 🔁
↦ E. Bekiroğlu
76′
Garry Rodrigues 🔁
↦ O. Moruțan
81′
81′
🔁 İ. Pehlivan
↦ M. Pala
Bahadır Han Güngördü 🟨
83′
83′
🟨 Adolfo Gaich
A. Đokanović 🔁
↦ Pedrinho
89′
93′
🟨 Casper Højer
95′
🟨 Emirhan Topçu
95′
🟥 Emirhan Topçu
97′
A. Gaich 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

4-2-3-1
99 B. Güngördü G
4 A. Çankaya D
26 U. Radaković D
18 N. Mujakić D
3 A. Uludağ D
23 A. Güneren M
8 Pedrinho M
80 O. Moruțan M
10 E. Bekiroğlu M
29 R. Cephas
22 A. Sowe F
Bench (10)
7 T. Chatzigiovanis
32 F. Macheda
11 Garry Rodrigues
16 A. Đokanović
5 M. Hanousek
45 M. Çetin
1 R. Gikiewicz
9 R. Bajić
70 S. Kitsiou
6 C. Türkmen

Coach: E. Belözoğlu

Rizespor

4-2-3-1
23 G. Akkan G
37 T. Şahin D
2 H. Aliqulov D
53 E. Topçu D
5 C. Højer D
54 M. Pala M
6 J. Shelvey M
11 Gustavo Sauer M
8 D. Varešanović M
77 A. Zeqiri M
89 M. Minchev F
Bench (10)
9 A. Gaich
21 Óscar Pinchi
7 B. Keser
3 İ. Pehlivan
1 T. Çetin
17 J. Laine
27 E. Korkmaz
16 A. Yaşar
20 M. Faye
18 S. Osmanoğlu

Coach: İ. Palut

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,06
U ✓
3,45
B
3,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.