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Süper Lig
Referee: D Tonusluoğlu
Ankaragücü
T S T S U
0–4
Full-time
Antalyaspor
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Antalyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
27%
36%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
55%
27%
Both score Ø 64%
73%
55%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,66 xG 1,68
55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 21
2 Shots on target 9
5 Blocked shots 6
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ankaragücü 12. · Antalyaspor 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 11 10 1 0 +15 +15.3 31
2 Fenerbahce 11 10 0 1 +23 +22.6 30
3 Ad. Demirspor 11 6 3 2 +11 +4.1 21
4 Trabzonspor 11 6 1 4 +6 -1.9 19
5 Besiktas 11 6 1 4 +3 +5.8 19
6 Kayserispor 11 5 4 2 +3 -1.8 19
7 Kasimpasa 11 5 3 3 -1 -4.0 18
8 Antalyaspor 11 4 3 4 +0 -1.3 15
9 Hatayspor 11 3 5 3 +3 +3.0 14
10 Sivasspor 11 3 5 3 -1 +0.7 14
11 Rizespor 11 4 2 5 -7 -6.6 14
12 Ankaragücü 11 3 4 4 +3 -1.5 13
13 Gaziantep 11 4 0 7 -8 -5.9 12
14 Karagumruk 11 2 5 4 +0 -5.9 11
15 Alanyaspor 11 2 4 5 -5 -0.4 10
16 Konyaspor 11 2 4 5 -6 -4.4 10
17 Pendikspor 11 2 4 5 -11 -5.4 10
18 Buyuksehyr 11 2 3 6 -7 -3.6 9
19 Samsunspor 11 2 2 7 -9 +1.6 8
20 İstanbulspor 11 1 2 8 -12 -10.4 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Antalyaspor
8′
S. Larsson 0–1
A. Buksa
Pedrinho 🟨
14′
29′
S. Yehezkel 0–2
E. Rakip
Uroš Radaković 🟨
33′
O. Moruțan 🔁
↦ Pedrinho
35′
Half-time 0–2
F. Macheda 🔁
↦ T. Chatzigiovanis
46′
A. Çankaya 🔁
↦ H. Bilazer
46′
46′
🔁 S. van de Streek
↦ S. Yehezkel
Ali Sowe 🟨
61′
70′
A. Buksa 0–3
E. Yeşilyurt
71′
🔁 B. Assombalonga
↦ A. Buksa
72′
🔁 U. Akyol
↦ R. Safouri
R. Cephas 🔁
↦ Garry Rodrigues
73′
A. Güneren 🔁
↦ T. Ciğerci
80′
85′
B. Assombalonga 0–4
87′
🔁 M. Yılmaz
↦ B. Balcı
87′
🔁 E. Bilsel
↦ D. Šarić
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gikiewicz G
77 H. Bilazer D
26 U. Radaković D
18 N. Mujakić D
5 M. Hanousek D
30 T. Ciğerci M
10 E. Bekiroğlu M
11 Garry Rodrigues M
8 Pedrinho M
7 T. Chatzigiovanis M
22 A. Sowe F
Bench (10)
80 O. Moruțan
32 F. Macheda
4 A. Çankaya
29 R. Cephas
23 A. Güneren
6 C. Türkmen
3 A. Uludağ
99 B. Güngördü
9 R. Bajić
45 M. Çetin

Coach: E. Belözoğlu

Antalyaspor

4-2-3-1
1 Helton Leite G
7 B. Balcı D
89 V. Sarı D
21 Ö. Toprak D
17 E. Yeşilyurt D
6 E. Rakip M
8 D. Šarić M
29 S. Yehezkel M
16 R. Safouri M
10 S. Larsson M
9 A. Buksa F
Bench (10)
22 S. van de Streek
97 B. Assombalonga
19 U. Akyol
27 M. Yılmaz
70 E. Bilsel
44 Naldo
18 J. Kałuziński
80 E. Uzun
14 E. Eyibil
23 A. Dadakdeniz

Coach: N. Şahin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,45
U
3,31
B ✓
2,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,84
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Tonusluoğlu · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.