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Super League

Referee: S Koumbarakis

Asteras Tripolis

S T S T T

2–2

Full-time

Panetolikos

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Panetolikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,5

This season — Super League · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 30%

42%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

67%

58%

Both score Ø 48%

54%

42%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%

20 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 6

14 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 8. · Panetolikos 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	24	16	7	1	+32	55
2	Olympiakos	25	17	3	5	+33	54
3	PAOK	25	16	4	5	+38	52
4	Panathinaikos	24	16	3	5	+37	51
5	Aris Thessalonikis	23	11	5	7	+10	38
6	Aris	23	11	5	7	+10	38
7	Lamia	25	10	8	7	-2	38
8	Asteras Tripolis	24	10	2	12	-8	32
9	Atromitos	25	6	8	11	-17	26
10	Panserraikos	24	5	9	10	-13	24
11	OFI Crete	24	5	8	11	-20	23
12	Panetolikos	24	4	6	14	-24	18
13	Giannina	25	3	8	14	-23	17
14	Volos NFC	24	3	8	13	-24	17
15	Kifisia	25	3	8	14	-29	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	14	10	3	1	+24	33
2	AEK	13	10	3	0	+22	33
3	Olympiakos	12	9	0	3	+22	27
4	Panathinaikos	11	8	2	1	+23	26
5	Aris Thessalonikis	11	7	2	2	+8	23
6	Aris	11	7	2	2	+8	23
7	Lamia	12	7	2	3	+5	23
8	OFI Crete	12	5	4	3	+1	19
9	Asteras Tripolis	12	6	1	5	-3	19
10	Panserraikos	11	3	6	2	+0	15
11	Atromitos	13	3	6	4	-6	15
12	Panetolikos	12	4	3	5	-8	15
13	Kifisia	13	2	5	6	-9	11
14	Giannina	12	2	4	6	-8	10
15	Volos NFC	13	2	3	8	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	13	8	3	2	+11	27
2	Panathinaikos	13	8	1	4	+14	25
3	AEK	11	6	4	1	+10	22
4	PAOK	11	6	1	4	+14	19
5	Aris Thessalonikis	12	4	3	5	+2	15
6	Aris	12	4	3	5	+2	15
7	Lamia	13	3	6	4	-7	15
8	Asteras Tripolis	12	4	1	7	-5	13
9	Atromitos	12	3	2	7	-11	11
10	Panserraikos	13	2	3	8	-13	9
11	Volos NFC	11	1	5	5	-11	8
12	Giannina	13	1	4	8	-15	7
13	Kifisia	12	1	3	8	-20	6
14	OFI Crete	12	0	4	8	-21	4
15	Panetolikos	12	0	3	9	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.