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Super League
Referee: A Sidiropoulos
3–1
Full-time
Atromitos
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Atromitos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Super League · 21/20 matches
Win Ø 37%
43%
30%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
62%
60%
Both score Ø 57%
48%
65%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 8. · Atromitos 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 21 14 6 1 +27 48
2 PAOK 21 14 3 4 +38 45
3 Olympiakos 21 14 3 4 +26 45
4 Panathinaikos 20 14 2 4 +33 44
5 Aris Thessalonikis 20 10 3 7 +8 33
6 Aris 20 10 3 7 +8 33
7 Lamia 22 8 7 7 -6 31
8 Asteras Tripolis 21 9 2 10 -7 29
9 Atromitos 20 6 8 6 -8 26
10 OFI Crete 22 5 8 9 -15 23
11 Panserraikos 21 5 7 9 -10 22
12 Volos NFC 21 3 6 12 -23 15
13 Panetolikos 22 3 5 14 -25 14
14 Kifisia 22 2 7 13 -27 13
15 Giannina 20 2 6 12 -19 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis Atromitos
1–0 Xesc Regis
N. Kaltsas
19′
Julián Bartolo 🟨
35′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Xesc Regis
Pepe Castaño
53′
63′
🔁 T. Dierckx
↦ A. Erlingmark
64′
Pepe Castaño 3–0
own goal
67′
🔁 K. Angielski
↦ G. Robail
José Luis Valiente 🔁
↦ E. Yablonskiy
69′
N. Zouglis 🔁
↦ J. Bartolo
70′
D. Houhoumis 🔁
↦ F. Álvarez
74′
4–0 N. Kaltsas
N. Zouglis
77′
G. Christopoulos 🔁
↦ J. Munafo
84′
S. Goss 🔁
↦ Xesc Regis
84′
92′
🔁 G. Vrakas
↦ D. Valencia
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
70 N. Grammatikakis G
22 L. Lyratzis D
19 Pepe Castaño D
87 E. Zukanović D
29 F. Álvarez D
5 E. Yablonskiy M
8 J. Munafo M
20 N. Kaltsas M
7 J. Bartolo M
11 Xesc Regis M
9 J. Miritello F
Bench (9)
6 José Luis Valiente
77 N. Zouglis
3 D. Houhoumis
45 G. Christopoulos
4 S. Goss
14 V. Mantzis
99 A. Tsiftsis
40 Sito
12 David Carmona

Coach: G. Douvikas

Atromitos

4-1-4-1
16 P. Tsintotas G
19 K. Kivrakidis D
5 L. Acevedo D
33 G. Tzavellas D
28 L. De Bock D
26 P. Kunde M
7 G. Robail M
17 A. Erlingmark M
6 Eder González M
18 D. Valencia M
9 N. Vergos F
Bench (9)
55 T. Dierckx
14 K. Angielski
29 G. Vrakas
27 K. Pomonis
44 D. Tsakmakis
3 N. Athanasiou
1 G. Marchegiani
20 A. Trimmatis
31 T. Karamanis

Coach: S. Ilić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,11
U
3,23
B
3,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,19
U2,5
1,64
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Sidiropoulos · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.