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Super League
Referee: E Gortsilas
Panetolikos
U T T S T
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos Asteras Tripolis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
This season — Super League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 15%
10%
20%
Points per game
0,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
50%
80%
Both score Ø 40%
30%
50%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
0,6
1,2
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
15 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
23 Free kicks against 13
6 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Panetolikos 13. · Asteras Tripolis 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 10 8 1 1 +25 25
2 Olympiakos 10 8 1 1 +22 25
3 AEK 10 6 3 1 +9 21
4 PAOK 10 5 3 2 +8 18
5 Lamia 11 5 3 3 -2 18
6 OFI Crete 10 4 4 2 +0 16
7 Aris Thessalonikis 9 4 2 3 +2 14
8 Aris 9 4 2 3 +2 14
9 Panserraikos 9 2 3 4 -6 9
10 Kifisia 11 1 6 4 -8 9
11 Asteras Tripolis 10 2 2 6 -8 8
12 Atromitos 9 1 3 5 -12 6
13 Panetolikos 10 1 3 6 -14 6
14 Giannina 10 1 2 7 -9 5
15 Volos NFC 8 1 2 5 -9 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panetolikos Asteras Tripolis
Bruno Duarte 🟨
6′
8′
ℹ️ Julián Bartolo
VAR: Penalty cancelled
8′
J. Miritello 0–1
N. Kaltsas
30′
🟨 Nikos Kaltsas
Juanpi Añor 🟨
31′
31′
🔁 N. Zouglis
↦ J. Bartolo
Ilias Chatzitheodoridis 🟨
33′
44′
🟨 Diamantis Chouchoumis
Half-time 0–1
Sebastian Mladen 🟨
47′
56′
🟨 David Carmona
60′
🟨 Nikolaos Zouglis
S. Díaz 🔁
↦ I. Chatzitheodoridis
64′
L. Shengelia 🔁
↦ Frederico Duarte
64′
66′
🟨 David Carmona
66′
🟥 David Carmona
71′
🔁 S. Goss
↦ N. Kaltsas
71′
🔁 F. Álvarez
↦ J. Miritello
71′
🔁 José Luis Valiente
↦ V. Sourlis
G. Xenitidis 🔁
↦ F. Baldassarra
84′
C. Mavrias 🔁
↦ G. Liavas
85′
A. Voilis 🔁
↦ B. Duarte
85′
Sergio Díaz 🟨
87′
94′
🔁 Y. Diarra
↦ Xesc Regis
Giorgos Xenidis 🟨
96′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Panetolikos

3-5-2
1 S. Kapino G
47 A. Malis D
26 B. Duarte D
5 S. Mladen D
54 G. Liavas M
10 J. Añor M
80 F. Baldassarra M
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis M
24 P. Silva M
14 Frederico Duarte F
45 João Pedro F
Bench (9)
22 S. Díaz
27 L. Shengelia
23 G. Xenitidis
35 C. Mavrias
19 A. Voilis
37 A. Tsingaras
6 M. Oikonomou
13 J. Graterol
49 N. Stajić

Coach: G. Petrakis

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
1 N. Papadopoulos G
12 David Carmona D
19 Pepe Castaño D
87 E. Zukanović D
3 D. Houhoumis D
21 V. Sourlis M
8 J. Munafo M
20 N. Kaltsas M
7 J. Bartolo M
11 Xesc Regis M
9 J. Miritello F
Bench (9)
77 N. Zouglis
4 S. Goss
29 F. Álvarez
6 José Luis Valiente
24 Y. Diarra
45 G. Christopoulos
33 F. Sgouris
18 Pichu Atienza
14 V. Mantzis

Coach: G. Douvikas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,87
U
3,02
B ✓
2,54
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Gortsilas · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
34,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.