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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Koløy
Aalesund
T T S S S
4–3
Full-time
Levanger
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Levanger
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 29%
36%
21%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
46%
61%
Both score Ø 55%
46%
64%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 10. · Levanger 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valerenga 28 20 5 3 +48 65
2 Bryne 28 16 4 8 +17 52
3 Lyn 27 12 9 6 +18 45
4 Moss 27 13 5 9 +10 44
5 Egersund 27 13 5 9 +1 44
6 Stabaek 28 12 6 10 +4 42
7 Raufoss 28 11 8 9 +1 41
8 Kongsvinger 25 9 10 6 -5 37
9 Ranheim 28 9 9 10 +1 36
10 Aalesund 28 10 4 14 -8 34
11 Start 28 9 7 12 -9 34
12 Sogndal 28 8 7 13 -4 31
13 Asane 28 8 7 13 -8 31
14 Levanger 28 6 11 11 -2 29
15 Mjondalen 28 6 8 14 -16 26
16 Sandnes ULF 28 4 5 19 -48 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Levanger
6′
🟨 K. Ulstad
1–0 Cláudio Braga
7′
2–0 M. Rafferty
11′
S. Rogers 🟨
42′
Half-time 2–1
46′
H. Lorentsen 2–1
46′
🔁 A. Gunnes
↦ K. Ulstad
3–1 Cláudio Braga
59′
67′
🟨 S. Saugestad
D. Jóhannsson 🔁
↦ K. Nessø
68′
68′
🔁 D. Pollen
↦ S. Sundnes
4–1 D. Jóhannsson
75′
E. Kolve 🔁
↦ H. Hammer
78′
79′
H. Stakset 4–2
82′
🔁 W. Bjeglerud
↦ H. Stakset
82′
🔁 N. Hristov
↦ S. Saugestad
D. Johannsson 🟨
86′
N. Solskjær 🔁
↦ Cláudio Braga
91′
J. Kitolano 🔁
↦ S. Rogers
91′
92′
🔁 M. Solhaug Wenneberg
↦ S. Hagbø
95′
A. Gunnes 4–3
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Aalesund

26 T. Larsen
5 T. Grøgaard
2 M. Nielsen
3 V. Međimorec
44 S. Rogers
7 K. Nessø
6 H. Hammer
66 J. Seehusen
22 M. Rafferty
10 Cláudio Braga
19 P. Ngongo
Bench (9)
11 D. Jóhannsson
28 E. Kolve
17 N. Solskjær
25 J. Kitolano
8 H. Melland
14 S. Haram
24 S. Midthjell
29 B. Kristensen
33 S. Holte

Coach: K. Rekdal

Levanger

12 M. Sætra
22 S. Hagbø
5 H. Lorentsen
32 S. Sundnes
10 J. Aas
6 S. Saugestad
19 J. Pereira
8 A. Teigen
18 K. Ulstad
7 E. Hajdari
21 H. Stakset
Bench (6)
14 A. Gunnes
2 D. Pollen
3 W. Bjeglerud
31 N. Hristov
20 M. Solhaug Wenneberg
15 S. Hanssen

Coach: P. Rønning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.