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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: S Sletner
Aalesund
S S T T S
3–1
Full-time
Start
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Start
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 33%
31%
35%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
46%
73%
Both score Ø 62%
46%
77%
Average goals
3,0
3,4
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 13. · Start 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valerenga 26 18 5 3 +43 59
2 Bryne 26 15 4 7 +17 49
3 Egersund 25 12 5 8 +3 41
4 Moss 25 12 4 9 +6 40
5 Raufoss 26 11 7 8 +2 40
6 Lyn 25 10 9 6 +16 39
7 Stabaek 26 11 6 9 +3 39
8 Kongsvinger 23 9 9 5 -3 36
9 Ranheim 26 8 9 9 +1 33
10 Start 26 9 6 11 -7 33
11 Sogndal 26 8 6 12 -2 30
12 Asane 26 7 7 12 -9 28
13 Aalesund 26 8 4 14 -11 28
14 Levanger 26 5 11 10 -2 26
15 Mjondalen 26 6 7 13 -14 25
16 Sandnes ULF 26 4 5 17 -43 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Start
1–0 M. Rafferty
4′
2–0 M. Rafferty
6′
Half-time 2–0
60′
🔁 K. Hoven
↦ D. Dasjajev
60′
🔁 T. Strannegård
↦ S. Grønli
70′
🔁 S. Nkubiri
↦ M. Ubandoma
77′
🟨 S. Nkubiri
78′
🔁 H. Shala
↦ H. Lorentzen
78′
🔁 E. Björgólfs­son
↦ N. Jenssen
3–0 M. Nielsen
81′
S. Rogers 🔁
↦ J. Kitolano
88′
S. Kilen 🔁
↦ P. Ngongo
90′
M. Ramsland 🔁
↦ Cláudio Braga
90′
S. Kilen 🟥
94′
96′
E. Björgólfs­son 3–1
E. Kolve 🔁
↦ M. Rafferty
97′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

26 T. Larsen
5 T. Grøgaard
2 M. Nielsen
3 V. Međimorec
25 J. Kitolano
7 K. Nessø
11 D. Jóhannsson
66 J. Seehusen
22 M. Rafferty
10 Cláudio Braga
19 P. Ngongo
Bench (9)
44 S. Rogers
15 S. Kilen
18 M. Ramsland
28 E. Kolve
6 H. Hammer
8 H. Melland
17 N. Solskjær
24 S. Midthjell
33 S. Holte

Coach: K. Rekdal

Start

45 J. Pryts
27 L. Begby
5 N. Jenssen
19 D. Dasjajev
13 S. Griesbeck
29 W. Vorsager
8 M. Grundetjern
6 K. Makosso
20 H. Lorentzen
7 S. Grønli
23 M. Ubandoma
Bench (6)
9 K. Hoven
16 T. Strannegård
44 S. Nkubiri
25 H. Shala
37 E. Björgólfs­son
1 J. Torkildsen

Coach: A. Karadas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.