La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Girona
Leganes
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | +27 | +15.3 | 30 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | +8.0 | 24 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +1 | +3.5 | 21 |
| 4 |
Osasuna
|
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +1 | -0.6 | 21 |
| 5 |
Ath Madrid
|
11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +9 | +8.0 | 20 |
| 6 |
Ath Bilbao
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | +1.8 | 18 |
| 7 |
Betis
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +2 | +7.3 | 18 |
| 8 |
Mallorca
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | +3.2 | 18 |
| 9 |
Vallecano
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | -1.6 | 16 |
| 10 |
Sevilla
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -3 | -2.1 | 15 |
| 11 |
Celta
|
11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -3 | +1.5 | 13 |
| 12 |
Alaves
|
12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -5 | -3.6 | 13 |
| 13 |
Sociedad
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | +1.8 | 12 |
| 14 |
Girona
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | +1.8 | 12 |
| 15 |
Leganes
|
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -3 | -8.9 | 11 |
| 16 |
Getafe
|
11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -1 | +3.2 | 10 |
| 17 |
Espanol
|
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | -10.0 | 10 |
| 18 |
Las Palmas
|
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -6 | -9.2 | 9 |
| 19 |
Valladolid
|
12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -15 | -9.5 | 8 |
| 20 |
Valencia
|
11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -9 | -9.8 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
P. Gazzaniga
G
David López
D
D. Blind
D
Arnau Martínez
M
Y. Herrera
M
Silvi
M
Miguel Gutiérrez
M
Bryan Gil
F
D. van de Beek
F
B. Miovski
F
Coach: Míchel Sánchez
M. Dmitrović
G
Adrià Alti
D
Y. Neyou
M
Juan Cruz
F
Miguel de la Fuente
F
Coach: Borja Jiménez
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Extremadura 1924
Girona
Las Palmas
Girona
Girona
Slovan Bratislava
Girona
Sociedad
Girona
Ath Bilbao
Mateo Busquets · 50 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,44 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.