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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Anders Bodding
Kongsvinger
T T T S U
4–2
Full-time
Sogndal
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kongsvinger Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
44%
56%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,4
3,3
Scored
2,1
1,9
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kongsvinger 5. · Sogndal 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 9 7 2 0 +17 23
2 Start 9 5 2 2 +6 17
3 Sogndal 9 5 1 3 +4 16
4 Odd 9 5 1 3 +3 16
5 Kongsvinger 9 4 2 3 +7 14
6 hodd 9 4 2 3 +0 14
7 Aalesund 8 3 4 1 +4 13
8 Egersund 8 4 1 3 +1 13
9 Raufoss 9 3 4 2 +0 13
10 Ranheim 9 4 1 4 -1 13
11 Stabaek 9 3 3 3 +0 12
12 Moss 9 4 0 5 -8 12
13 Asane 9 2 3 4 -4 9
14 Mjondalen 9 1 2 6 -14 5
15 Lyn 9 1 1 7 -6 4
16 Skeid 9 0 3 6 -9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kongsvinger Sogndal
1–0 N. Williams
R. Christiansen
14′
36′
🟨 L. Jendal
2–0 J. Grundt
L. Haren
37′
43′
🟨 O. Hintsa
44′
🟨 L. Pimenta
3–0 J. Grundt
L. Haren
45′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 E. Mensah
↦ O. Hintsa
51′
L. Vapne 3–1
M. Sjolstad
55′
A. Gorodovoy 4–1
own goal
A. Dybevik 🟨
59′
D. Lysgard 🔁
↦ J. Nilsson
65′
E. Taylor 🟨
72′
A. Overby 🔁
↦ R. Christiansen
72′
72′
🔁 V. Hagen
↦ K. Skaanes
73′
🟨 M. Hoyland
76′
🟨 D. Bras
J. Holtan 🔁
↦ L. Haren
81′
M. Vinjor 🔁
↦ N. Williams
81′
90′
🔁 J. Haruna
↦ M. Hoyland
90′
🔁 R. Onyango
↦ P. Flo
5–1 M. Vinjor
A. Dybevik
90′
D. Lysgard 🟨
94′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Kongsvinger

93 A. Gorodovoy
2 J. Nilsson
19 E. Nielsen
5 F. Holme
12 M. Mbow
8 J. Grundt
7 E. Taylor
27 A. Dybevik
28 R. Christiansen
9 L. Haren
11 N. Williams
Bench (9)
71 S. Ekerhaugen
18 J. Holtan
20 A. Sandstad
21 D. Lysgard
23 M. Vinjor
24 A. Overby
25 M. Damhaug
40 L. J. Fjeld
67 L. Sethi

Coach: Johan Peter Wennberg

Sogndal

1 L. Jendal
2 D. Bras
17 M. Sjolstad
6 M. Hoyland
33 S. A. Granheim
13 P. Flo
16 L. Vapne
10 K. Skaanes
8 J. Flaten
9 O. Hintsa
7 S. Pedersen
Bench (7)
38 A. Sundal
11 E. Mensah
14 J. Haruna
18 V. Hagen
29 K. Steinset
31 J. Nundal
88 R. Onyango

Coach: Luís Berkemeier Pimenta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.