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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: Stian Røvig Sletner

Lillestrom

S S S S U

2–0

Full-time

Kongsvinger

S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Kongsvinger

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,7

5,5

Scored

2,2

3,7

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+1,8

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,7

Scored

1,8

2,5

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 1. · Kongsvinger 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	6	4	2	0	+8	14
2	Egersund	5	4	1	0	+5	13
3	Kongsvinger	6	3	1	2	+8	10
4	Start	6	3	1	2	+2	10
5	Odd	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	hodd	6	3	1	2	+0	10
7	Ranheim	7	3	1	3	-1	10
8	Aalesund	5	2	3	0	+3	9
9	Sogndal	6	3	0	3	+0	9
10	Raufoss	7	2	3	2	-1	9
11	Moss	6	3	0	3	-4	9
12	Stabaek	6	2	2	2	-3	8
13	Asane	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Lyn	6	1	0	5	-3	3
15	Mjondalen	6	0	2	4	-6	2
16	Skeid	6	0	1	5	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Moss	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Odd	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Raufoss	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Lillestrom	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Sogndal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Aalesund	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Kongsvinger	3	1	1	1	+4	4
9	Stabaek	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Ranheim	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Start	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	hodd	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Asane	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Mjondalen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
15	Skeid	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	Lyn	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Start	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Egersund	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	hodd	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Kongsvinger	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Ranheim	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Aalesund	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Asane	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Stabaek	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Odd	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Lyn	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Sogndal	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Raufoss	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Mjondalen	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Skeid	3	0	0	3	-3	0
16	Moss	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.