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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: Harald Vollstad Sletner

Aalesund

U S T U U

2–0

Full-time

Moss

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Moss

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,8

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 12/13 matches

Win Ø 36%

33%

38%

Points per game

1,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

50%

77%

Both score Ø 61%

67%

54%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 6. · Moss 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	13	8	5	0	+21	29
2	Start	13	7	4	2	+11	25
3	Egersund	12	6	3	3	+5	21
4	Sogndal	13	6	2	5	+4	20
5	Kongsvinger	12	5	4	3	+9	19
6	Aalesund	12	4	7	1	+5	19
7	Odd	13	5	4	4	+2	19
8	Raufoss	13	4	6	3	+4	18
9	hodd	13	5	3	5	-5	18
10	Asane	13	4	4	5	-3	16
11	Ranheim	12	5	1	6	-5	16
12	Moss	13	5	1	7	-9	16
13	Lyn	13	4	2	7	-3	14
14	Stabaek	13	3	4	6	-7	13
15	Skeid	13	1	4	8	-10	7
16	Mjondalen	13	1	4	8	-19	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Odd	7	4	3	0	+5	15
2	Moss	7	5	0	2	+4	15
3	Raufoss	7	4	2	1	+7	14
4	Lillestrom	6	4	2	0	+7	14
5	Aalesund	7	3	4	0	+5	13
6	Kongsvinger	6	3	2	1	+7	11
7	Asane	6	3	2	1	+1	11
8	Start	6	3	1	2	+4	10
9	Sogndal	6	3	1	2	+2	10
10	hodd	6	3	1	2	+2	10
11	Egersund	5	2	2	1	+0	8
12	Stabaek	7	2	2	3	-1	8
13	Lyn	7	2	1	4	-3	7
14	Ranheim	7	2	1	4	-7	7
15	Skeid	6	0	3	3	-8	3
16	Mjondalen	6	0	2	4	-13	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	7	4	3	0	+14	15
2	Start	7	4	3	0	+7	15
3	Egersund	7	4	1	2	+5	13
4	Sogndal	7	3	1	3	+2	10
5	Ranheim	5	3	0	2	+2	9
6	Kongsvinger	6	2	2	2	+2	8
7	hodd	7	2	2	3	-7	8
8	Lyn	6	2	1	3	+0	7
9	Aalesund	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Asane	7	1	2	4	-4	5
11	Mjondalen	7	1	2	4	-6	5
12	Stabaek	6	1	2	3	-6	5
13	Skeid	7	1	1	5	-2	4
14	Raufoss	6	0	4	2	-3	4
15	Odd	6	1	1	4	-3	4
16	Moss	6	0	1	5	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.