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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Jørgen Haugen
Sogndal
U T S T U
1–1
Full-time
Stabaek
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 35%
46%
23%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
69%
62%
Both score Ø 66%
69%
62%
Average goals
3,4
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sogndal 4. · Stabaek 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 13 8 5 0 +21 29
2 Start 13 7 4 2 +11 25
3 Egersund 12 6 3 3 +5 21
4 Sogndal 13 6 2 5 +4 20
5 Kongsvinger 12 5 4 3 +9 19
6 Aalesund 12 4 7 1 +5 19
7 Odd 13 5 4 4 +2 19
8 Raufoss 13 4 6 3 +4 18
9 hodd 13 5 3 5 -5 18
10 Asane 13 4 4 5 -3 16
11 Ranheim 12 5 1 6 -5 16
12 Moss 13 5 1 7 -9 16
13 Lyn 13 4 2 7 -3 14
14 Stabaek 13 3 4 6 -7 13
15 Skeid 13 1 4 8 -10 7
16 Mjondalen 13 1 4 8 -19 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sogndal Stabaek
1–0 M. Sjolstad
L. Vapne
20′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 O. Veum
↦ M. Hellan
58′
🔁 A. Matic
↦ H. Geelmuyden
66′
🔁 K. Opseth
↦ B. Diabate
J. Nundal 🔁
↦ S. A. Granheim
71′
76′
M. Lankhof-Dahlby 1–1
D. Bras 🔁
↦ R. Onyango
79′
F. Sturgeon 🔁
↦ V. Hagen
79′
79′
🔁 A. Bawa
↦ S. Olderheim
79′
🔁 J. Nysveen
↦ E. Danso
90′
🟨 N. Naess
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sogndal

1 L. Jendal
88 R. Onyango
17 M. Sjolstad
32 M. Oren
13 P. Flo
33 S. A. Granheim
16 L. Vapne
10 K. Skaanes
8 J. Flaten
18 V. Hagen
7 S. Pedersen
Bench (9)
21 D. Saetren
2 D. Bras
9 O. Hintsa
11 E. Mensah
14 J. Haruna
22 A. Kalstad
23 F. Sturgeon
29 K. Steinset
31 J. Nundal

Coach: Luís Berkemeier Pimenta

Stabaek

24 M. Sjoeng
13 M. Hellan
20 A. Andresen
4 N. Naess
2 K. Pedersen
10 H. Geelmuyden
27 E. Danso
8 M. Lankhof-Dahlby
17 S. Olderheim
9 B. Diabate
21 K. Onsrud
Bench (9)
41 K. Lokkevik
14 M. Nielsen
15 O. Veum
18 A. Bawa
22 K. Opseth
26 J. Nysveen
29 K. Ekorness
32 A. Cedergren
6 A. Matic

Coach: Mikael Lennart Tage Stahre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.