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Premiership
Referee: Greg Aitken
Partick
T T S S
3–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 35 31 2 2 +77 95
2 Rangers 35 27 4 4 +51 85
3 Aberdeen 35 17 3 15 -1 54
4 Hearts 35 14 7 14 +5 49
5 Hibernian 35 14 6 15 -2 48
6 St Mirren 35 12 9 14 -12 45
7 Motherwell 35 12 7 16 +0 43
8 Livingston 35 12 6 17 -23 42
9 ST Johnstone 35 10 6 19 -21 36
10 Kilmarnock 35 9 7 19 -29 34
11 Ross County 35 9 6 20 -20 33
12 Dundee United 35 8 7 20 -25 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Partick Ayr Utd
1–0 J. McMillan
S. Lawless
16′
21′
🟨 Joshua Mullin
Half-time 2–0
2–0 B. Graham
S. Tiffoney
50′
55′
🔁 N. McAllister
↦ M. Hewitt
55′
🔁 J. Mitchell-Lawson
↦ J. Mullin
63′
🟨 Ben Dempsey
Jack McMillan 🟨
64′
3–0 B. Graham
A. Fitzpatrick
72′
Z. Mackenzie 🔁
↦ A. Fitzpatrick
73′
73′
🔁 P. Smith
↦ C. Maguire
73′
🔁 S. Ashford
↦ D. OConnor
D. Mullen 🔁
↦ B. Graham
79′
A. Dowds 🔁
↦ S. Tiffoney
79′
C. McKinnon 🔁
↦ S. Lawless
83′
84′
🔁 F. Bryden
↦ M. McKenzie
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Partick

4-2-3-1
31 D. Mitchell G
2 J. McMillan M
22 A. Muirhead D
5 D. Brownlie D
4 K. Holt M
6 K. Turner M
23 R. Docherty M
11 S. Lawless M
21 A. Fitzpatrick M
7 S. Tiffoney F
9 B. Graham F
Bench (7)
29 Z. Mackenzie
19 D. Mullen
10 A. Dowds
15 C. McKinnon
30 J. Stevenson
25 B. Owens
1 J. Sneddon

Coach: K. Doolan

Ayr Utd

4-2-3-1
21 C. Albinson G
20 M. Hewitt D
4 F. Musonda D
5 S. McGinty D
3 P. Reading D
6 A. Murdoch M
8 B. Dempsey M
14 J. Mullin M
10 D. O'Connor M
77 C. Maguire M
22 M. McKenzie F
Bench (9)
17 N. McAllister
11 J. Mitchell-Lawson
31 P. Smith
23 S. Ashford
30 F. Bryden
33 C. Jenkins
18 R. McAlear
1 A. McAdams
15 A. Kirk

Coach: L. Bullen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.