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Serie B
Referee: F Dionisi
Perugia
T U U T T
3–2
Full-time
Benevento
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Benevento
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 22%
24%
19%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
41%
32%
Both score Ø 46%
41%
51%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

36% Possession 64%
17 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Perugia 18. · Benevento 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 37 23 8 6 +36 77
2 Genoa 37 20 11 6 +24 71
3 Bari 37 17 14 6 +22 65
4 Parma 37 16 10 11 +8 58
5 Sudtirol 37 14 16 7 +5 58
6 Cagliari 37 14 15 8 +15 57
7 Reggina 37 16 4 17 +3 52
8 Venezia 37 13 10 14 +2 49
9 Palermo 37 11 15 11 -1 48
10 Pisa 37 11 14 12 +7 47
11 Ascoli 37 12 11 14 -6 47
12 Como 37 10 16 11 -1 46
13 Modena 37 12 9 16 -7 45
14 Ternana 37 11 10 16 -14 43
15 Cittadella 37 9 15 13 -11 42
16 Cosenza 37 9 13 15 -22 40
17 Brescia 37 9 12 16 -21 39
18 Perugia 37 9 9 19 -13 36
19 Spal 37 7 14 16 -11 35
20 Benevento 37 7 14 16 -15 35

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Perugia Benevento
30′
Diego Farias 0–1
Marcos Curado 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
Marco Olivieri 🟨
46′
M. Olivieri 🔁
↦ Y. Paz
46′
1–1 F. Lisi
53′
2–1 S. Di Carmine
G. Di Serio
58′
L. Capezzi 🔁
↦ G. Di Serio
62′
C. Kouan 🔁
↦ G. Luperini
62′
62′
🔁 K. Kubica
↦ P. Schiattarella
Leonardo Capezzi 🟨
71′
75′
🔁 A. Tello
↦ H. El Kaouakibi
P. Bartolomei 🔁
↦ E. Iannoni
80′
84′
🟥 Kamil Glik
M. Vulić 🔁
↦ S. Santoro
84′
86′
🔁 M. Leverbe
↦ D. Foulon
91′
C. Ciano 2–2
A. Tello
3–2 C. Kouan
94′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Perugia

3-4-1-2
81 A. Abibi G
97 F. Sgarbi D
5 G. Angella D
21 M. Curado D
17 Y. Paz M
25 S. Santoro M
4 E. Iannoni M
23 F. Lisi M
13 G. Luperini F
18 S. Di Carmine F
20 G. Di Serio F
Bench (12)
11 M. Olivieri
82 L. Capezzi
28 C. Kouan
16 P. Bartolomei
7 M. Vulić
2 A. Rosi
14 E. Ekong
3 D. Cancellieri
49 L. Baldi
10 Ryder Matos
6 S. Vulikić
1 S. Gori

Coach: F. Castori

Benevento

3-5-2
12 N. Manfredini G
55 F. Veseli D
15 K. Glik D
31 A. Toșca D
2 H. El Kaouakibi M
7 N. Karić M
27 P. Schiattarella M
80 I. Koutsoupias M
18 D. Foulon M
10 Diego Farias F
28 C. Ciano F
Bench (8)
6 K. Kubica
8 A. Tello
33 M. Leverbe
35 L. Carfora
21 A. Paleari
58 C. Pastina
79 S. Sanogo
22 I. Lucatelli

Coach: A. Agostinelli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,66
U
3,78
B
5,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,85
U2,5
1,94
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Dionisi · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
29,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.