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Serie B
Referee: D Rutella
Genoa
S S U S T
4–3
Full-time
Bari
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Bari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 50%
54%
46%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 42%
35%
49%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

53% Possession 47%
26 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 5
9 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genoa 2. · Bari 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 37 23 8 6 +36 77
2 Genoa 37 20 11 6 +24 71
3 Bari 37 17 14 6 +22 65
4 Parma 37 16 10 11 +8 58
5 Sudtirol 37 14 16 7 +5 58
6 Cagliari 37 14 15 8 +15 57
7 Reggina 37 16 4 17 +3 52
8 Venezia 37 13 10 14 +2 49
9 Palermo 37 11 15 11 -1 48
10 Pisa 37 11 14 12 +7 47
11 Ascoli 37 12 11 14 -6 47
12 Como 37 10 16 11 -1 46
13 Modena 37 12 9 16 -7 45
14 Ternana 37 11 10 16 -14 43
15 Cittadella 37 9 15 13 -11 42
16 Cosenza 37 9 13 15 -22 40
17 Brescia 37 9 12 16 -21 39
18 Perugia 37 9 9 19 -13 36
19 Spal 37 7 14 16 -11 35
20 Benevento 37 7 14 16 -15 35

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Dec -22 Bari – Genoa 1–2

Match report

Genoa Bari
3′
🟨 Alessandro Mallamo
1–0 S. Sabelli
M. Coda
12′
14′
🟨 Aurélien Scheidler
20′
S. Esposito 1–1
2–1 A. Guðmundsson
M. Coda
34′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 S. Molina
↦ A. Mallamo
Kevin Strootman 🟨
59′
G. Puşcaş 🔁
↦ E. Salcedo
66′
C. Ekuban 🔁
↦ M. Coda
66′
66′
🔁 W. Cheddira
↦ M. Antenucci
66′
🔁 R. Botta
↦ M. Dorval
68′
L. Benedetti 2–2
R. Botta
69′
🟨 Rubén Botta
3–2 C. Ekuban
S. Sabelli
75′
Stefano Sabelli 🟨
77′
77′
🔁 R. Maiello
↦ Ahmed Benali
M. Frendrup 🔁
↦ S. Sabelli
78′
81′
🔁 E. Matino
↦ F. Vicari
86′
W. Cheddira 3–3
S. Esposito
89′
🟨 Walid Cheddira
G. Agostino 🔁
↦ Josep Martínez
92′
D. Criscito 🔁
↦ A. Guðmundsson
93′
94′
🟨 Raffaele Maiello
4–3 D. Criscito
95′
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Genoa

4-3-1-2
22 Josep Martínez G
36 S. Hefti D
14 A. Vogliacco D
5 R. Drăgușin D
2 S. Sabelli D
24 F. Jagiełło M
47 M. Badelj M
8 K. Strootman M
11 A. Guðmundsson M
9 M. Coda F
17 E. Salcedo F
Bench (12)
57 G. Puşcaş
18 C. Ekuban
32 M. Frendrup
82 G. Agostino
4 D. Criscito
68 B. Boci
27 S. Sturaro
31 S. Ilsanker
94 A. Touré
1 A. Šemper
10 M. Aramu
50 G. Yalçın

Coach: A. Gilardino

Bari

4-3-1-2
1 P. Frattali G
93 M. Dorval D
21 Ž. Žužek D
23 F. Vicari D
31 G. Ricci D
99 A. Mallamo M
8 Ahmed Benali M
80 L. Benedetti M
9 S. Esposito M
26 A. Scheidler F
7 M. Antenucci F
Bench (12)
79 S. Molina
11 W. Cheddira
10 R. Botta
17 R. Maiello
5 E. Matino
14 G. Morachioli
22 E. Sarri
6 V. Di Cesare
63 N. Bellomo
27 A. Mazzotta
44 M. Bosisio
18 E. Caprile

Coach: M. Mignani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,54
U
3,95
B
6,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,87
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Rutella · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.