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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
ST Johnstone
T U S T U
4–0
Full-time
Inverness CT
S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Inverness CT
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 29%
17%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
33%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
2,3
1,6
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,4
This season — Premiership · 39/5 matches
Win Ø 31%
21%
40%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
36%
40%
Both score Ø 41%
41%
40%
Average goals
2,0
1,6
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,4
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
6 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
5 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 38 29 6 3 +70 93
2 Rangers 38 27 8 3 +49 89
3 Hearts 38 17 10 11 +10 61
4 Livingston 38 13 10 15 -5 49
5 Dundee United 38 12 12 14 -7 48
6 Motherwell 38 12 10 16 -19 46
7 Hibernian 38 11 12 15 -4 45
8 St Mirren 38 10 14 14 -18 44
9 Aberdeen 38 10 11 17 -5 41
10 Ross County 38 10 11 17 -14 41
11 ST Johnstone 39 8 12 19 -27 36
12 Dundee 38 6 11 21 -30 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone Inverness CT
Cameron MacPherson 🟨
5′
20′
🟨 David Carson
Half-time 0–0
S. May 🔁
↦ G. Middleton
46′
1–0 S. May
46′
2–0 C. MacPherson
J. Brown
53′
65′
🔁 A. Doran
↦ L. Chalmers
71′
🟨 Kirk Broadfoot
74′
🔁 C. Harper
↦ D. Carson
81′
🔁 S. Allardice
↦ S. Welsh
82′
🔁 J. Hardy
↦ D. Devine
3–0 C. Hendry
M. Hallberg
87′
4–0 S. Rooney
D. Cleary
90′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-4-1-2
1 Z. Clark G
5 D. Cleary D
19 S. Rooney M
6 L. Gordon D
2 J. Brown D
16 J. Mahon D
8 M. Davidson M
29 M. Hallberg M
18 C. MacPherson M
14 G. Middleton F
22 C. Hendry F
Bench (7)
7 S. May
15 C. Gilmour
27 T. Sang
23 N. Çiftçi
12 E. Parish
11 M. O'Halloran
26 L. Craig

Coach: C. Davidson

Inverness CT

4-4-2
1 M. Ridgers G
15 K. Broadfoot D
6 D. Devine D
2 W. Duffy D
5 R. Deas D
4 S. Welsh M
23 R. McAlear M
8 D. Carson M
9 B. McKay F
24 A. Samuels F
17 L. Chalmers M
Bench (6)
10 A. Doran
3 C. Harper
18 S. Allardice
20 J. Hardy
28 L. Hyde
21 C. Mackay

Coach: B. Dodds

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.