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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Livingston
T T U S S
1–1
Full-time
ST Johnstone
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 27%
34%
20%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
46%
34%
Both score Ø 45%
49%
40%
Average goals
2,3
1,9
Scored
1,1
0,6
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 4. · ST Johnstone 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 36 28 5 3 +64 89
2 Rangers 35 24 8 3 +42 80
3 Hearts 36 17 10 9 +13 61
4 Livingston 35 12 8 15 -6 44
5 Dundee United 35 11 11 13 -6 44
6 Hibernian 35 10 11 14 -6 41
7 Ross County 35 10 11 14 -9 41
8 Motherwell 35 10 10 15 -15 40
9 Aberdeen 35 10 9 16 -4 39
10 St Mirren 35 9 12 14 -20 39
11 ST Johnstone 35 7 10 18 -24 31
12 Dundee 35 5 11 19 -29 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Apr -22 ST Johnstone – Livingston 1–0 1. Feb -22 Livingston – ST Johnstone 1–2 16. Oct -21 ST Johnstone – Livingston 0–3 15. May -21 ST Johnstone – Livingston 0–0 6. Feb -21 Livingston – ST Johnstone 1–2

Match report

Livingston ST Johnstone
Andrew Shinnie 🟨
14′
38′
🟨 Callum Hendry
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 J. Brown
↦ C. Booth
A. Forrest 🔁
↦ O. Bailey
64′
69′
🔁 G. Middleton
↦ S. May
76′
⚽ G. Middleton 0–1
J. Brown
C. Chukwuemeka 🔁
↦ A. Shinnie
77′
S. Soto 🔁
↦ S. Kelly
80′
89′
🟨 Murray Davidson
1–1 J. Fitzwater ⚽
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Livingston

4-2-3-1
31 I. Konovalov G
2 N. Devlin D
24 S. Kelly M
6 A. Obileye D
5 J. Fitzwater D
15 M. Boyes D
22 A. Shinnie M
18 J. Holt M
8 S. Pittman M
14 O. Bailey M
19 J. Nouble F
Bench (9)
17 A. Forrest
23 C. Chukwuemeka
12 S. Soto
11 C. Montaño
10 C. Sibbald
16 A. Lewis
36 G. Maley
3 J. Longridge
21 J. McMillan

Coach: D. Martindale

ST Johnstone

3-4-1-2
1 Z. Clark G
24 C. Booth M
5 D. Cleary D
19 S. Rooney M
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
8 M. Davidson M
29 M. Hallberg M
18 C. MacPherson F
7 S. May F
22 C. Hendry F
Bench (9)
2 J. Brown
14 G. Middleton
21 A. Crawford
17 T. Bair
34 J. Butterfield
16 J. Mahon
27 T. Sang
23 N. Çiftçi
12 E. Parish

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,28
🔒
U ✓
3,13
🔒
B
3,33
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,51
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,51
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.