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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
ST Johnstone
S T U T U
1–0
Full-time
Aberdeen
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 24%
19%
28%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
33%
39%
Both score Ø 52%
42%
61%
Average goals
1,9
2,4
Scored
0,6
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

31% Possession 69%
9 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 11. · Aberdeen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 37 28 6 3 +64 90
2 Rangers 36 25 8 3 +44 83
3 Hearts 36 17 10 9 +13 61
4 Livingston 36 12 9 15 -6 45
5 Dundee United 37 11 12 14 -8 45
6 Motherwell 36 11 10 15 -14 43
7 Hibernian 37 10 12 15 -8 42
8 St Mirren 36 10 12 14 -18 42
9 Ross County 36 10 11 15 -10 41
10 Aberdeen 36 10 10 16 -4 40
11 ST Johnstone 36 7 11 18 -24 32
12 Dundee 37 6 11 20 -29 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone Aberdeen
1–0 C. Hendry
G. Middleton
17′
Callum Hendry 🟨
24′
Jamie McCart 🟨
39′
45′
🟨 David Bates
Half-time 1–0
Murray Davidson 🟨
55′
56′
🔁 J. Hayes
↦ D. Polvara
66′
🔁 C. McLennan
↦ A. Montgomery
66′
🔁 M. Kennedy
↦ M. Ruth
Liam Gordon 🟨
68′
74′
🔁 L. Harvey
↦ J. Hayes
Shaun Rooney 🟨
77′
T. Bair 🔁
↦ C. Hendry
85′
C. MacPherson 🔁
↦ M. Hallberg
85′
87′
🟨 Lewis Ferguson
L. Craig 🔁
↦ J. Butterfield
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-1-4-2
1 Z. Clark G
5 D. Cleary D
19 S. Rooney M
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
2 J. Brown M
8 M. Davidson M
34 J. Butterfield M
29 M. Hallberg M
14 G. Middleton F
22 C. Hendry F
Bench (8)
17 T. Bair
18 C. MacPherson
26 L. Craig
12 E. Parish
15 C. Gilmour
16 J. Mahon
23 N. Çiftçi
27 T. Sang

Coach: C. Davidson

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lewis G
5 D. Gallagher D
27 D. Bates D
3 J. MacKenzie D
11 A. Montgomery M
16 F. Ojo D
19 L. Ferguson M
21 D. Polvara M
29 C. Barron M
10 V. Besuijen M
28 M. Ruth F
Bench (9)
17 J. Hayes
18 C. McLennan
33 M. Kennedy
48 L. Harvey
4 A. Considine
39 J. Milne
51 D. Lobban
25 G. Woods
15 D. McGeouch

Coach: B. Robson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,38
U
2,90
B
2,39
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,63
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.