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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: H Holthe
Kongsvinger
T S S U T
5–1
Full-time
Sogndal
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kongsvinger Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,8
4,5
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
2,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 47%
62%
31%
Points per game
2,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 85%
85%
85%
Both score Ø 70%
77%
62%
Average goals
3,9
4,2
Scored
2,4
1,8
Conceded
1,5
2,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kongsvinger 3. · Sogndal 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Stromsgodset 13 8 4 1 +20 28
2 Haugesund 13 9 1 3 +15 28
3 Kongsvinger 13 8 3 2 +11 27
4 Stabaek 13 7 3 3 +13 24
5 Odd 13 7 3 3 +10 24
6 Ranheim 13 6 2 5 +3 20
7 Sandnes ULF 13 6 1 6 +2 19
8 hodd 13 5 3 5 +2 18
9 Moss 13 5 2 6 -6 17
10 Egersund 13 5 1 7 -4 16
11 Bryne 13 5 1 7 -4 16
12 Sogndal 13 4 3 6 -7 15
13 Asane 14 4 1 9 -10 13
14 Lyn 14 4 1 9 -13 13
15 Strommen 13 3 2 8 -17 11
16 Raufoss 13 3 1 9 -15 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kongsvinger Sogndal
2′
🟨 M. Oren
1–0 A. Dybevik ⚽
R. Christiansen
2′
2–0 L. Langrekken ⚽
D. Job
6′
3–0 M. Sande ⚽
L. Langrekken
18′
24′
⚽ E. Hovland 3–1
A. Barkarson
4–1 D. Job ⚽
R. Christiansen
33′
Half-time 5–1
5–1 L. Langrekken ⚽
R. Christiansen
51′
54′
🔁 D. Bras
↦ M. Oren
54′
🔁 E. L. Hillestad
↦ V. Hagen
54′
🔁 E. Flo
↦ S. Pedersen
V. Lysell 🔁
↦ S. Norheim
71′
M. Flores 🔁
↦ R. Christiansen
71′
75′
🔁 P. Asp
↦ O. Helen
A. Chaminta 🔁
↦ D. Job
78′
P. Fjellman 🔁
↦ L. Langrekken
91′
91′
🔁 M. Aroy
↦ T. Pippola
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Kongsvinger

93 A. Gorodovoy
2 V. Fors
3 S. Norheim
12 M. Mbow
5 D. Lysgard
8 A. Dybevik
23 F. Christensen
27 M. Sande
28 R. Christiansen
22 L. Langrekken
11 D. Job
Bench (8)
1 W. Da Rocha
7 E. Pajic
15 V. Lysell
18 M. Flores
21 A. Chaminta
29 P. Fjellman
37 S. Wilhelmsen
43 A. Wilhelmsen

Coach: Johan Vennberg

Sogndal

1 L. Jendal
32 M. Oren
4 E. Hovland
5 S. A. Granheim
23 A. Barkarson
19 T. Pippola
18 V. Hagen
16 L. Vapne
10 K. Skaanes
15 O. Helen
7 S. Pedersen
Bench (6)
24 K. Bieszczad
2 D. Bras
20 P. Asp
35 E. L. Hillestad
36 M. Aroy
39 E. Flo

Coach: Luis Pimenta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.