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OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal
S S U T T
2–2
Full-time
Kongsvinger
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Kongsvinger
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 23/22 matches
Win Ø 44%
43%
45%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
70%
77%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
82%
Average goals
3,4
3,7
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sogndal 6. · Kongsvinger 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 23 18 5 0 +45 59
2 Start 24 12 5 7 +14 41
3 Aalesund 21 10 8 3 +14 38
4 Lyn 23 11 5 7 +11 38
5 Kongsvinger 22 10 7 5 +9 37
6 Sogndal 23 10 5 8 +2 35
7 Egersund 22 9 6 7 +1 33
8 Ranheim 22 9 5 8 -5 32
9 hodd 23 8 6 9 -8 30
10 Asane 24 7 7 10 -9 28
11 Odd 23 7 6 10 -2 27
12 Raufoss 23 6 8 9 -4 26
13 Moss 23 7 5 11 -11 26
14 Stabaek 23 4 9 10 -9 21
15 Mjondalen 23 3 6 14 -28 15
16 Skeid 24 1 9 14 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sogndal Kongsvinger
39′
🟨 E. Nielsen
42′
🟨 M. Vinjor
45′
L. Haren 0–1
Half-time 0–1
M. Sjolstad 🔁
↦ V. Hagen
59′
63′
🔁 M. Gjerstrom
↦ F. Christensen
65′
🟨 F. Holme
M. Hoyland 🟨
67′
L. Vapne 🔁
↦ T. Pippola
70′
71′
🔁 J. Holtan
↦ L. Langrekken
74′
🟨 M. Mbow
S. A. Granheim 🟨
75′
77′
M. Vinjor 0–2
L. Haren
P. Asp 🔁
↦ M. Hoyland
79′
83′
🟨 E. Nielsen
83′
🟥 E. Nielsen
86′
🔁 M. Flores
↦ M. Vinjor
86′
🔁 R. Christiansen
↦ L. Haren
D. Bras 🟨
87′
1–2 P. Asp
M. Sjolstad
90′
2–2 P. Flo
L. Vapne
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sogndal

21 D. Saetren
2 D. Bras
33 S. A. Granheim
13 P. Flo
8 J. Flaten
6 M. Hoyland
19 T. Pippola
10 K. Skaanes
18 V. Hagen
9 O. Hintsa
7 S. Pedersen
Bench (9)
38 A. Sundal
16 L. Vapne
17 M. Sjolstad
20 P. Asp
22 A. Kalstad
31 J. Nundal
34 K. Kongelf
36 M. Aroy
39 E. Flo

Coach: Luís Berkemeier Pimenta

Kongsvinger

93 A. Gorodovoy
12 M. Mbow
5 F. Holme
29 S. Norheim
19 E. Nielsen
8 J. Grundt
14 F. Christensen
27 A. Dybevik
9 L. Haren
22 L. Langrekken
23 M. Vinjor
Bench (8)
71 S. Ekerhaugen
3 P. Fjellman
11 N. Williams
13 M. Flores
15 V. Lysell
17 M. Gjerstrom
18 J. Holtan
28 R. Christiansen

Coach: Johan Peter Wennberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.