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Süper Lig

Referee: M Kalkavan

Kayserispor

U T U S U

1–0

Full-time

Goztep

S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Goztep

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

2,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,8

This season — Süper Lig · 23/22 matches

Win Ø 27%

13%

41%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

65%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

70%

55%

Average goals

3,5

2,4

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,4

+0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%

9 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

0 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 18. · Goztep 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	23	14	6	3	+29	48
2	Galatasaray	24	14	6	4	+24	48
3	Sivasspor	24	14	6	4	+19	48
4	Buyuksehyr	23	13	7	3	+20	46
5	Besiktas	24	12	4	8	+7	40
6	Alanyaspor	24	11	6	7	+18	39
7	Fenerbahce	24	11	6	7	+13	39
8	Goztep	22	9	7	6	+5	34
9	Gaziantep	23	8	7	8	-2	31
10	Denizlispor	24	7	6	11	-9	27
11	Genclerbirligi	24	7	6	11	-10	27
12	Antalyaspor	24	6	8	10	-15	26
13	Yeni Malatyaspor	23	6	6	11	+1	24
14	Rizespor	23	7	3	13	-15	24
15	Konyaspor	24	4	10	10	-13	22
16	Kasimpasa	24	5	5	14	-18	20
17	Ankaragücü	24	4	8	12	-22	20
18	Kayserispor	23	3	7	13	-32	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	9	3	1	+17	30
2	Sivasspor	12	9	3	0	+15	30
3	Trabzonspor	13	9	2	2	+21	29
4	Buyuksehyr	12	8	3	1	+18	27
5	Alanyaspor	13	7	3	3	+16	24
6	Besiktas	12	7	3	2	+13	24
7	Fenerbahce	11	7	2	2	+15	23
8	Gaziantep	12	5	3	4	+7	18
9	Goztep	10	4	4	2	+3	16
10	Rizespor	12	5	1	6	+0	16
11	Genclerbirligi	12	4	4	4	-1	16
12	Yeni Malatyaspor	10	3	2	5	+4	11
13	Kayserispor	11	2	5	4	-6	11
14	Denizlispor	12	3	2	7	-7	11
15	Antalyaspor	12	2	5	5	-9	11
16	Ankaragücü	12	2	4	6	-12	10
17	Konyaspor	12	1	6	5	-8	9
18	Kasimpasa	11	2	2	7	-6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	10	5	4	1	+8	19
2	Buyuksehyr	11	5	4	2	+2	19
3	Galatasaray	11	5	3	3	+7	18
4	Sivasspor	12	5	3	4	+4	18
5	Goztep	12	5	3	4	+2	18
6	Fenerbahce	13	4	4	5	-2	16
7	Denizlispor	12	4	4	4	-2	16
8	Besiktas	12	5	1	6	-6	16
9	Alanyaspor	11	4	3	4	+2	15
10	Antalyaspor	12	4	3	5	-6	15
11	Yeni Malatyaspor	13	3	4	6	-3	13
12	Konyaspor	12	3	4	5	-5	13
13	Gaziantep	11	3	4	4	-9	13
14	Kasimpasa	13	3	3	7	-12	12
15	Genclerbirligi	12	3	2	7	-9	11
16	Ankaragücü	12	2	4	6	-10	10
17	Rizespor	11	2	2	7	-15	8
18	Kayserispor	12	1	2	9	-26	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.