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Süper Lig
Referee: Z Küçük
Galatasaray
U T S S S
4–1
Full-time
Kayserispor
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Kayserispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,2
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
0,8
3,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-2,2
This season — Süper Lig · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 29%
47%
11%
Points per game
1,7
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
37%
63%
Both score Ø 55%
42%
68%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
0,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

61% Possession 39%
11 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Galatasaray 6. · Kayserispor 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sivasspor 20 12 5 3 +16 41
2 Buyuksehyr 20 11 6 3 +18 39
3 Trabzonspor 19 11 5 3 +23 38
4 Alanyaspor 20 11 5 4 +21 38
5 Fenerbahce 20 11 4 5 +16 37
6 Galatasaray 19 9 6 4 +12 33
7 Besiktas 20 10 3 7 +4 33
8 Goztep 19 8 5 6 +3 29
9 Gaziantep 20 7 6 7 -1 27
10 Yeni Malatyaspor 19 6 6 7 +6 24
11 Rizespor 20 7 3 10 -9 24
12 Denizlispor 19 6 4 9 -8 22
13 Genclerbirligi 20 5 6 9 -7 21
14 Konyaspor 20 4 7 9 -11 19
15 Antalyaspor 20 4 6 10 -18 18
16 Kasimpasa 20 4 4 12 -15 16
17 Ankaragücü 20 2 8 10 -20 14
18 Kayserispor 19 2 5 12 -30 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,14
U
7,96
B
15,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,34
U2,5
3,13
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Z Küçük · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.