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Süper Lig
Referee: C Çakιr
Kayserispor
S T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Ankaragücü
T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Ankaragücü
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,7
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
3,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
-2,7
-1,3
This season — Süper Lig · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 11%
11%
11%
Points per game
0,6
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
56%
Average goals
3,6
2,8
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
2,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
12 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
10 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Kayserispor 18. · Ankaragücü 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sivasspor 18 12 4 2 +20 40
2 Buyuksehyr 18 10 6 2 +18 36
3 Trabzonspor 18 10 5 3 +22 35
4 Fenerbahce 18 10 4 4 +15 34
5 Alanyaspor 18 9 5 4 +19 32
6 Galatasaray 18 8 6 4 +9 30
7 Besiktas 18 9 3 6 +4 30
8 Goztep 18 7 5 6 +2 26
9 Yeni Malatyaspor 18 6 6 6 +7 24
10 Gaziantep 19 6 6 7 -5 24
11 Rizespor 18 7 2 9 -8 23
12 Denizlispor 18 6 4 8 -5 22
13 Genclerbirligi 19 5 6 8 -5 21
14 Konyaspor 18 4 6 8 -8 18
15 Kasimpasa 18 4 3 11 -14 15
16 Antalyaspor 18 3 5 10 -21 14
17 Ankaragücü 18 2 6 10 -20 12
18 Kayserispor 18 2 4 12 -30 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kayserispor Ankaragücü
17′
🟨 Cebrail Karayel
1–0 B. Mensah
23′
28′
🟨 Tiago Pinto
29′
🟨 Sedat Ağçay
33′
🟨 Héctor Canteros
Emre Demir 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Cebrail Karayel
48′
🟥 Cebrail Karayel
Bernard Mensah 🟨
54′
56′
🔁 A. Kubalas
↦ M. Pazdan
A. Aktaş 🔁
↦ E. Demir
60′
61′
🔁 W. Moke
↦ H. Canteros
Gustavo Campanharo 🟨
68′
68′
A. Kubalas 1–1
Tiago Pinto
C. Şahin 🔁
↦ M. Šitum
74′
Pedro Henrique 🟨
76′
A. Kravets 🔁
↦ Pedro Henrique
78′
87′
🔁 E. Scarione
↦ İ. Parlak
Ben Rienstra 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Alihan Kubalas
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Kayserispor

4-2-3-1
95 İ. Çipe G
13 Miguel Lopes D
3 E. Taşdemir D
44 O. Çapar
88 Gustavo Campanharo M
10 Pedro Henrique M
38 B. Rienstra D
43 B. Mensah M
21 M. Mešanović F
92 M. Šitum M
14 E. Demir M
Bench (10)
20 A. Aktaş
70 C. Şahin
11 A. Kravets
90 A. Uzodimma
16 D. Alemdar
24 M. Kula
2 R. Civelek
94 Ö. Memiş
19 Ö. Uzun
32 Y. Subaşı

Coach: O. Mahir

Ankaragücü

4-2-3-1
1 K. Çelikay G
22 M. Pazdan D
13 A. Kulusic D
8 Tiago Pinto D
70 S. Kitsiou M
19 C. Karayel D
14 R. Faty M
3 S. Ağçay M
10 H. Canteros M
23 İ. Parlak M
12 D. Orgill F
Bench (10)
5 A. Kubalas
21 W. Moke
7 E. Scarione
4 M. Sak
95 Z. Sadaev
11 M. Akan
28 H. Kaya
20 A. Karabulut
98 Y. Kafkasyalı
45 A. Önal

Coach: A. Atik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,68
U ✓
3,54
B
2,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Çakιr · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.