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Süper Lig
Referee: A Kardeşler
Besiktas
S S T U S
2–1
Full-time
Ankaragücü
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Ankaragücü
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
63%
58%
Both score Ø 56%
58%
54%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,6
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%
12 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 5
4 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Besiktas 5. · Ankaragücü 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Buyuksehyr 24 14 7 3 +22 49
2 Trabzonspor 23 14 6 3 +29 48
3 Galatasaray 24 14 6 4 +24 48
4 Sivasspor 24 14 6 4 +19 48
5 Besiktas 24 12 4 8 +7 40
6 Alanyaspor 24 11 6 7 +18 39
7 Fenerbahce 24 11 6 7 +13 39
8 Goztep 23 9 7 7 +4 34
9 Gaziantep 24 8 7 9 -4 31
10 Denizlispor 24 7 6 11 -9 27
11 Genclerbirligi 24 7 6 11 -10 27
12 Antalyaspor 24 6 8 10 -15 26
13 Yeni Malatyaspor 23 6 6 11 +1 24
14 Rizespor 23 7 3 13 -15 24
15 Konyaspor 24 4 10 10 -13 22
16 Kasimpasa 24 5 5 14 -18 20
17 Ankaragücü 24 4 8 12 -22 20
18 Kayserispor 24 4 7 13 -31 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Besiktas Ankaragücü
1–0 B. Yılmaz ⚽
6′
21′
🟨 Dever Orgill
37′
🟨 Daniel Łukasik
38′
🟨 Sedat Ağçay
Jeremain Lens 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
Víctor Ruiz 🟨
47′
Mohamed Elneny 🟨
52′
A. Diaby 🔁
↦ K. Boateng
66′
68′
🔁 S. Lobzhanidze
↦ S. Ağçay
A. Ljajić 🔁
↦ G. NKoudou
78′
82′
🟨 Ricardo Faty
83′
🟨 Konrad Michalak
84′
🔁 E. Scarione
↦ D. Lukasik
2–0 A. Ljajić ⚽
88′
U. Nayir 🔁
↦ B. Yılmaz
90′
90′
🔁 İ. Parlak
↦ A. Turan
93′
⚽ İ. Parlak 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
1 L. Karius G
88 C. Erkin D
24 D. Vida D
4 Víctor Ruíz D
27 J. Lens D
13 A. Hutchinson M
15 Mohamed Elneny M
19 G. N'Koudou M
99 K. Boateng M
17 B. Yılmaz F
11 T. Boyd M
Bench (10)
92 A. Diaby
22 A. Ljajić
8 U. Nayir
77 G. Gönül
12 E. Kaya
33 R. Yılmaz
20 N. Uysal
9 G. Yalçın
3 E. Roco
97 U. Yuvakuran

Coach: S. Yalçın

Ankaragücü

4-2-3-1
25 Ricardo Friedrich G
22 M. Pazdan D
13 A. Kulusic D
89 A. Turan D
70 S. Kitsiou D
14 R. Faty M
3 S. Ağçay M
35 D. Lukasik M
18 K. Michalak M
12 D. Orgill F
9 G. Rodrigues M
Bench (10)
24 S. Lobzhanidze
7 E. Scarione
23 İ. Parlak
5 A. Kubalas
19 C. Karayel
11 M. Akan
20 A. Karabulut
15 O. Çınar
30 G. Rivas
1 K. Çelikay

Coach: M. Akçay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,22
U
6,34
B
10,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,33
U2,5
3,20
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

A Kardeşler · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.