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Ligue 2

Chateauroux

T T S S T

2–1

Full-time

Caen

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chateauroux Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 30%

30%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

37%

41%

Both score Ø 49%

41%

56%

Average goals

2,1

2,4

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

16 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 6

3 Corners 6

11 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chateauroux 15. · Caen 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	27	17	3	7	+21	54
2	Lens	27	14	8	5	+14	50
3	Troyes	27	16	2	9	+9	50
4	Ajaccio	27	14	7	6	+15	49
5	Clermont	27	13	8	6	+8	47
6	Le Havre	27	10	11	6	+12	41
7	Guingamp	27	10	9	8	+8	39
8	Valenciennes	27	10	9	8	+2	39
9	Grenoble	27	7	14	6	+0	35
10	Auxerre	27	8	10	9	+2	34
11	Caen	27	8	10	9	+0	34
12	Sochaux	27	8	10	9	+0	34
13	Chambly	27	9	7	11	-6	34
14	Nancy	27	6	15	6	+1	33
15	Chateauroux	27	8	7	12	-17	31
16	Rodez	27	7	8	12	-4	29
17	Paris FC	27	7	6	14	-18	27
18	Niort	27	6	7	14	-11	25
19	Le Mans	27	7	4	16	-15	25
20	Orleans	27	4	7	16	-21	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	14	9	1	4	+10	28
2	Lens	13	8	3	2	+9	27
3	Valenciennes	14	7	5	2	+7	26
4	Nancy	14	6	6	2	+7	24
5	Troyes	13	8	0	5	+3	24
6	Sochaux	14	6	5	3	+6	23
7	Auxerre	14	5	7	2	+7	22
8	Guingamp	14	5	6	3	+6	21
9	Clermont	13	6	3	4	+5	21
10	Le Havre	13	4	7	2	+7	19
11	Ajaccio	13	5	4	4	+4	19
12	Rodez	13	5	3	5	+3	18
13	Le Mans	14	5	3	6	-1	18
14	Grenoble	13	3	8	2	+2	17
15	Caen	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Niort	13	4	4	5	+0	16
17	Chambly	14	4	3	7	-9	15
18	Paris FC	13	3	2	8	-13	11
19	Chateauroux	13	2	4	7	-13	10
20	Orleans	14	2	2	10	-15	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajaccio	14	9	3	2	+11	30
2	Lorient	13	8	2	3	+11	26
3	Troyes	14	8	2	4	+6	26
4	Clermont	14	7	5	2	+3	26
5	Lens	14	6	5	3	+5	23
6	Le Havre	14	6	4	4	+5	22
7	Chateauroux	14	6	3	5	-4	21
8	Chambly	13	5	4	4	+3	19
9	Guingamp	13	5	3	5	+2	18
10	Grenoble	14	4	6	4	-2	18
11	Caen	13	4	5	4	+3	17
12	Paris FC	14	4	4	6	-5	16
13	Valenciennes	13	3	4	6	-5	13
14	Auxerre	13	3	3	7	-5	12
15	Orleans	13	2	5	6	-6	11
16	Sochaux	13	2	5	6	-6	11
17	Rodez	14	2	5	7	-7	11
18	Nancy	13	0	9	4	-6	9
19	Niort	14	2	3	9	-11	9
20	Le Mans	13	2	1	10	-14	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.