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Ligue 1
Referee: F Letexier
Marseille
S S S T S
2–2
Full-time
Amiens
U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 37%
59%
15%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
44%
59%
Both score Ø 60%
52%
67%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Marseille 2. · Amiens 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 27 22 2 3 +51 68
2 Marseille 27 16 7 4 +12 55
3 Rennes 27 14 5 8 +9 47
4 Lille 27 14 4 9 +7 46
5 Lyon 27 11 7 9 +16 40
6 Montpellier 27 11 7 9 +6 40
7 Monaco 27 11 7 9 +1 40
8 Reims 27 9 11 7 +4 38
9 Nice 27 10 8 9 +2 38
10 Strasbourg 27 11 5 11 +0 38
11 Nantes 27 11 4 12 -1 37
12 Bordeaux 27 9 9 9 +6 36
13 Angers 27 10 6 11 -7 36
14 Brest 27 8 10 9 -2 34
15 Metz 27 7 10 10 -9 31
16 St Etienne 27 8 5 14 -16 29
17 Dijon 27 6 9 12 -11 27
18 Nimes 27 7 6 14 -14 27
19 Amiens 27 4 10 13 -19 22
20 Toulouse 27 3 4 20 -35 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Marseille Amiens
Jordan Amavi 🟨
17′
38′
🟨 Thomas Monconduit
Dimitri Payet 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Sanson
K. Strootman
46′
2–0 D. Payet
M. Sanson
57′
60′
🟨 Arturo Calabresi
62′
🔁 C. Akolo
↦ I. Mbenza
71′
🔁 A. Blin
↦ T. Monconduit
H. Sakai 🔁
↦ B. Sarr
77′
F. Thauvin 🔁
↦ D. Payet
80′
80′
🔁 S. Ghoddos
↦ F. Diabaté
83′
S. Guirassy 2–1
M. Lopez 🔁
↦ M. Sanson
94′
95′
S. Ghoddos 2–2
A. Calabresi
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Marseille

4-2-3-1
30 S. Mandanda G
17 B. Sarr D
3 Álvaro González D
18 J. Amavi D
4 B. Kamara D
10 D. Payet M
12 K. Strootman M
8 M. Sanson M
21 V. Rongier M
9 D. Benedetto F
28 V. Germain M
Bench (7)
2 H. Sakai
26 F. Thauvin
27 M. Lopez
32 L. Perrin
36 M. Aké
16 Y. Pelé
24 S. Khaoui

Coach: André Villas-Boas

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
27 A. Chedjou D
14 H. Aleesami D
3 A. Calabresi D
4 N. Opoku D
10 G. Kakuta M
6 T. Monconduit M
8 B. Zungu M
9 S. Guirassy F
28 F. Diabaté M
21 I. Mbenza M
Bench (7)
19 C. Akolo
17 A. Blin
7 S. Ghoddos
13 C. Jallet
15 M. Konaté
11 F. Otero
16 M. Dreyer

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,57
U ✓
3,99
B
6,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,09
U2,5
1,74
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.