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Süper Lig
Referee: Alper Ulusoy
Denizlispor
T U T U S
2–3
Full-time
Besiktas
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Denizlispor Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 23%
20%
25%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
40%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
40%
75%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,6
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

49% Possession 51%
9 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Denizlispor 18. · Besiktas 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 6 5 1 0 +13 16
2 Fenerbahce 6 4 2 0 +5 14
3 Galatasaray 6 3 1 2 +3 10
4 Karagumruk 6 2 2 2 +2 8
5 Kasimpasa 6 2 2 2 +1 8
6 Antalyaspor 6 2 2 2 -2 8
7 Yeni Malatyaspor 6 2 2 2 -3 8
8 Goztep 6 1 4 1 +3 7
9 Erzurumspor 5 2 1 2 +1 7
10 Sivasspor 4 2 1 1 +1 7
11 Buyuksehyr 6 2 1 3 +0 7
12 Gaziantep 6 1 4 1 -1 7
13 Hatayspor 4 2 1 1 -3 7
14 Konyaspor 5 1 3 1 +2 6
15 Kayserispor 5 2 0 3 -4 6
16 Rizespor 5 1 2 2 -1 5
17 Trabzonspor 6 1 2 3 -4 5
18 Denizlispor 5 1 2 2 -4 5
19 Besiktas 4 1 1 2 -2 4
20 Genclerbirligi 5 1 1 3 -3 4
21 Ankaragücü 4 0 1 3 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Denizlispor Besiktas
O. Yılmaz 🔁
↦ M. Yumlu
9′
13′
A. Hutchinson 0–1
V. Aboubakar
25′
🟨 Dorukhan Toköz
Marvin Bakalorz 🟨
27′
35′
🟨 Valentin Rosier
Oğuz Yılmaz 🟨
39′
39′
V. Aboubakar 0–2
Half-time 0–3
48′
C. Larin 0–3
58′
🟨 Domagoj Vida
I. Aissati 🔁
↦ R. Niyaz
60′
H. Sacko 🔁
↦ Á. Sagal
60′
67′
🟥 Josef De Souza
1–3 M. Mešanović
Ö. Özdemir
76′
77′
🔁 N. Uysal
↦ D. Toköz
Özer Özdemir ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
84′
86′
🔁 G. Töre
↦ R. Ghezzal
Z. Bergdich 🔁
↦ Ö. Özdemir
88′
90′
🔁 G. Yalçın
↦ V. Aboubakar
2–3 H. Sacko
Tiago Lopes
94′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Denizlispor

4-1-4-1
29 C. Pantilimon G
4 N. Subotić D
22 M. Yumlu D
2 Tiago Lopes D
76 Ö. Özdemir D
6 M. Bakalorz M
20 R. Niyaz M
24 F. Varela M
7 H. Rodallega F
11 M. Mešanović M
28 Á. Sagal M
Bench (10)
15 O. Yılmaz
10 I. Aissati
9 H. Sacko
21 Z. Bergdich
88 A. Kalkan
91 Fabiano
94 M. Kıryolcu
19 C. Gönen
3 M. Özkal
1 H. Altıntaş

Coach: R. Prosinečki

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
30 E. Destanoğlu G
24 D. Vida D
21 F. N'Sakala D
23 Welinton D
2 V. Rosier D
13 A. Hutchinson M
5 Josef de Souza M
18 R. Ghezzal M
26 D. Toköz M
14 V. Aboubakar F
17 C. Larin M
Bench (10)
20 N. Uysal
70 G. Töre
9 G. Yalçın
97 U. Yuvakuran
41 K. Yılmaz
22 A. Ljajić
33 R. Yılmaz
4 Javi Montero
10 O. Özyakup
12 E. Kaya

Coach: S. Yalçın

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,41
U
3,49
B ✓
2,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,95
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alper Ulusoy · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.