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Süper Lig
Referee: Abdulkadir Bitigen
Alanyaspor
T U T S T
1–2
Full-time
Kasimpasa
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Kasimpasa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,8
This season — Süper Lig · 17/16 matches
Win Ø 42%
53%
31%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
41%
50%
Both score Ø 43%
47%
38%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

75% Possession 25%
28 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
8 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Alanyaspor 5. · Kasimpasa 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 17 11 2 4 +18 35
2 Fenerbahce 17 11 2 4 +14 35
3 Galatasaray 17 10 3 4 +20 33
4 Gaziantep 17 8 7 2 +12 31
5 Alanyaspor 17 9 3 5 +14 30
6 Hatayspor 17 8 4 5 +3 28
7 Trabzonspor 17 7 5 5 -1 26
8 Karagumruk 17 6 6 5 +4 24
9 Antalyaspor 18 6 6 6 -6 24
10 Konyaspor 17 6 4 7 +3 22
11 Sivasspor 17 5 7 5 -2 22
12 Buyuksehyr 17 6 4 7 -4 22
13 Yeni Malatyaspor 17 5 6 6 -2 21
14 Rizespor 17 5 6 6 -8 21
15 Goztep 17 4 7 6 +1 19
16 Kasimpasa 16 5 4 7 -8 19
17 Genclerbirligi 17 5 4 8 -13 19
18 Kayserispor 17 4 4 9 -10 16
19 Ankaragücü 17 4 3 10 -7 15
20 Denizlispor 17 3 5 9 -11 14
21 Erzurumspor 18 3 4 11 -17 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Kasimpasa
22′
A. Hodžić 0–1
Y. Erdoğan
25′
🟥 Oussama Haddadi
32′
🔁 M. Yıldırım
↦ K. Varga
33′
Y. Erdoğan 0–2
I. Thelin
1–2 A. Bakasetas
39′
Manolis Siopis 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–2
B. Kutlu 🔁
↦ E. Siopis
46′
M. Pektemek 🔁
↦ E. Karaca
68′
H. Acar 🔁
↦ S. Uçan
77′
T. Bingöl 🔁
↦ Juanfran
77′
78′
🔁 A. Koç
↦ A. Hodžić
84′
🔁 F. Külekçi
↦ I. Thelin
86′
🟨 Ramazan Köse
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

4-3-3
28 Marafona G
44 S. Caulker D
21 F. Moubandje D
24 Juanfran D
5 F. Aksoy D
7 E. Karaca F
8 S. Uçan M
26 E. Siopis M
10 K. Babacar F
11 A. Bakasetas M
9 A. Bareiro F
Bench (10)
22 B. Kutlu
19 M. Pektemek
14 H. Acar
75 T. Bingöl
23 E. Bekiroglu
6 C. Gülselam
20 H. Ayaroğlu
13 A. Güney
27 U. Güneş
3 A. Gülay

Coach: S. Tokatlı

Kasimpasa

4-2-3-1
1 R. Köse G
3 O. Haddadi D
25 T. Břečka D
94 F. Hadërgjonaj D
18 E. Elmalı D
6 L. Sadiku M
35 A. Kara M
11 Y. Erdoğan M
21 K. Varga M
30 A. Hodžić M
92 I. Thelin F
Bench (10)
23 M. Yıldırım
7 A. Koç
28 F. Külekçi
33 E. Taşkıran
80 H. Yeşilyurt
22 E. Canpolat
55 Y. Dülger
20 Alan Cariús
34 D. Haspolat
99 O. Özcan

Coach: F. Çapa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,75
U
3,82
B ✓
4,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Abdulkadir Bitigen · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.