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Ligue 2

Caen

U U S T U

2–2

Full-time

Toulouse

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,0

2,7

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 48%

39%

56%

Points per game

1,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

39%

56%

Both score Ø 47%

44%

50%

Average goals

2,1

3,1

Scored

1,0

1,9

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

9 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 5

2 Corners 8

10 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 10. · Toulouse 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	19	11	5	3	+13	38
2	Toulouse	18	10	5	3	+14	35
3	Grenoble	19	10	5	4	+12	35
4	Clermont	19	9	7	3	+15	34
5	Auxerre	19	9	6	4	+15	33
6	Paris FC	19	9	5	5	+6	32
7	Sochaux	19	6	10	3	+8	28
8	Amiens	19	7	6	6	+4	27
9	Valenciennes	19	7	6	6	+3	27
10	Caen	18	7	6	5	-1	27
11	Niort	19	7	4	8	-9	25
12	Le Havre	19	6	5	8	-8	23
13	Ajaccio	19	5	7	7	-7	22
14	Dunkerque	19	6	3	10	-6	21
15	Guingamp	19	4	8	7	-5	20
16	Chambly	19	4	7	8	-8	19
17	Nancy	19	4	6	9	-6	18
18	Rodez	19	2	10	7	-11	16
19	Pau FC	19	3	5	11	-15	14
20	Chateauroux	19	3	4	12	-14	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Grenoble	9	7	2	0	+14	23
2	Troyes	9	7	2	0	+10	23
3	Auxerre	10	6	2	2	+14	20
4	Clermont	9	5	3	1	+10	18
5	Toulouse	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Paris FC	10	5	3	2	+3	18
7	Sochaux	10	4	4	2	+4	16
8	Caen	9	4	4	1	+1	16
9	Niort	10	4	3	3	+1	15
10	Amiens	9	3	4	2	+1	13
11	Valenciennes	9	3	3	3	+0	12
12	Dunkerque	10	3	3	4	+0	12
13	Ajaccio	9	3	3	3	-1	12
14	Guingamp	9	2	4	3	-1	10
15	Nancy	9	2	4	3	-2	10
16	Le Havre	9	2	4	3	-2	10
17	Rodez	10	2	4	4	-4	10
18	Chambly	10	3	1	6	-5	10
19	Pau FC	9	2	3	4	-4	9
20	Chateauroux	10	2	1	7	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	8	5	2	1	+8	17
2	Clermont	10	4	4	2	+5	16
3	Valenciennes	10	4	3	3	+3	15
4	Troyes	10	4	3	3	+3	15
5	Paris FC	9	4	2	3	+3	14
6	Amiens	10	4	2	4	+3	14
7	Auxerre	9	3	4	2	+1	13
8	Le Havre	10	4	1	5	-6	13
9	Sochaux	9	2	6	1	+4	12
10	Grenoble	10	3	3	4	-2	12
11	Caen	9	3	2	4	-2	11
12	Guingamp	10	2	4	4	-4	10
13	Ajaccio	10	2	4	4	-6	10
14	Niort	9	3	1	5	-10	10
15	Chambly	9	1	6	2	-3	9
16	Dunkerque	9	3	0	6	-6	9
17	Nancy	10	2	2	6	-4	8
18	Chateauroux	9	1	3	5	-6	6
19	Rodez	9	0	6	3	-7	6
20	Pau FC	10	1	2	7	-11	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.