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Süper Lig

Referee: Mete Kalkavan

Erzurumspor

T T S U T

0–3

Full-time

Fenerbahce

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzurumspor Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

This season — Süper Lig · 17/16 matches

Win Ø 41%

18%

63%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

59%

75%

Both score Ø 61%

59%

63%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

0,9

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

13 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 0

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzurumspor 21. · Fenerbahce 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	17	11	2	4	+18	35
2	Galatasaray	17	10	3	4	+20	33
3	Fenerbahce	16	10	2	4	+11	32
4	Gaziantep	17	8	7	2	+12	31
5	Alanyaspor	17	9	3	5	+14	30
6	Hatayspor	17	8	4	5	+3	28
7	Trabzonspor	17	7	5	5	-1	26
8	Karagumruk	17	6	6	5	+4	24
9	Antalyaspor	18	6	6	6	-6	24
10	Konyaspor	17	6	4	7	+3	22
11	Sivasspor	17	5	7	5	-2	22
12	Buyuksehyr	17	6	4	7	-4	22
13	Yeni Malatyaspor	17	5	6	6	-2	21
14	Rizespor	17	5	6	6	-8	21
15	Goztep	17	4	7	6	+1	19
16	Kasimpasa	16	5	4	7	-8	19
17	Genclerbirligi	17	5	4	8	-13	19
18	Kayserispor	17	4	4	9	-10	16
19	Ankaragücü	17	4	3	10	-7	15
20	Denizlispor	17	3	5	9	-11	14
21	Erzurumspor	17	3	4	10	-14	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	8	6	2	0	+15	20
2	Karagumruk	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	Besiktas	8	6	1	1	+17	19
4	Galatasaray	9	5	3	1	+13	18
5	Gaziantep	8	5	3	0	+9	18
6	Hatayspor	9	5	3	1	+8	18
7	Antalyaspor	9	5	1	3	-1	16
8	Yeni Malatyaspor	8	4	3	1	+4	15
9	Rizespor	9	4	3	2	+0	15
10	Konyaspor	8	4	2	2	+5	14
11	Kasimpasa	8	4	2	2	-1	14
12	Fenerbahce	8	4	1	3	+1	13
13	Trabzonspor	9	4	1	4	-2	13
14	Goztep	9	3	3	3	+4	12
15	Buyuksehyr	8	3	3	2	+3	12
16	Genclerbirligi	8	3	3	2	-1	12
17	Ankaragücü	9	3	1	5	+0	10
18	Sivasspor	9	2	3	4	-3	9
19	Kayserispor	9	2	2	5	-6	8
20	Denizlispor	8	1	2	5	-5	5
21	Erzurumspor	8	0	4	4	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	8	6	1	1	+10	19
2	Besiktas	9	5	1	3	+1	16
3	Galatasaray	8	5	0	3	+7	15
4	Gaziantep	9	3	4	2	+3	13
5	Sivasspor	8	3	4	1	+1	13
6	Trabzonspor	8	3	4	1	+1	13
7	Alanyaspor	9	3	1	5	-1	10
8	Hatayspor	8	3	1	4	-5	10
9	Buyuksehyr	9	3	1	5	-7	10
10	Denizlispor	9	2	3	4	-6	9
11	Erzurumspor	9	3	0	6	-10	9
12	Konyaspor	9	2	2	5	-2	8
13	Kayserispor	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	Antalyaspor	9	1	5	3	-5	8
15	Goztep	8	1	4	3	-3	7
16	Genclerbirligi	9	2	1	6	-12	7
17	Yeni Malatyaspor	9	1	3	5	-6	6
18	Rizespor	8	1	3	4	-8	6
19	Kasimpasa	8	1	2	5	-7	5
20	Ankaragücü	8	1	2	5	-7	5
21	Karagumruk	8	0	4	4	-7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.