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Süper Lig

Referee: Volkan Bayarslan

Karagumruk

U T T S U

1–0

Full-time

Hatayspor

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Hatayspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,2

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,8

This season — Süper Lig · 31/30 matches

Win Ø 43%

39%

47%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

58%

57%

Both score Ø 56%

61%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,9

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

9 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karagumruk 8. · Hatayspor 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	30	20	4	6	+32	64
2	Fenerbahce	31	19	5	7	+24	62
3	Galatasaray	31	19	4	8	+31	61
4	Trabzonspor	31	16	8	7	+9	56
5	Alanyaspor	31	14	7	10	+18	49
6	Hatayspor	30	14	7	9	+15	49
7	Gaziantep	30	12	11	7	+10	47
8	Karagumruk	31	12	9	10	+8	45
9	Sivasspor	30	9	14	7	+2	41
10	Goztep	31	10	10	11	+2	40
11	Konyaspor	30	10	9	11	+1	39
12	Antalyaspor	31	8	15	8	-8	39
13	Rizespor	30	8	11	11	-11	35
14	Kasimpasa	31	9	7	15	-13	34
15	Buyuksehyr	31	8	9	14	-14	33
16	Yeni Malatyaspor	30	7	11	12	-6	32
17	Ankaragücü	30	9	5	16	-13	32
18	Kayserispor	30	8	8	14	-16	32
19	Genclerbirligi	30	8	6	16	-24	30
20	Erzurumspor	31	6	9	16	-22	27
21	Denizlispor	30	6	7	17	-25	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	15	11	2	2	+24	35
2	Alanyaspor	16	10	3	3	+20	33
3	Gaziantep	15	9	5	1	+14	32
4	Galatasaray	15	9	4	2	+23	31
5	Karagumruk	15	9	2	4	+13	29
6	Fenerbahce	16	8	2	6	+5	26
7	Goztep	15	7	4	4	+10	25
8	Hatayspor	15	7	4	4	+10	25
9	Trabzonspor	15	8	1	6	+2	25
10	Rizespor	15	6	6	3	+2	24
11	Antalyaspor	15	6	6	3	+1	24
12	Kasimpasa	16	7	3	6	-3	24
13	Konyaspor	15	6	5	4	+4	23
14	Ankaragücü	15	7	2	6	+3	23
15	Yeni Malatyaspor	15	5	5	5	+2	20
16	Sivasspor	15	4	7	4	+0	19
17	Buyuksehyr	16	4	6	6	-2	18
18	Kayserispor	15	4	5	6	-6	17
19	Denizlispor	15	4	4	7	-5	16
20	Genclerbirligi	15	4	4	7	-8	16
21	Erzurumspor	16	1	8	7	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	15	11	3	1	+19	36
2	Trabzonspor	16	8	7	1	+7	31
3	Galatasaray	16	10	0	6	+8	30
4	Besiktas	15	9	2	4	+8	29
5	Hatayspor	15	7	3	5	+5	24
6	Sivasspor	15	5	7	3	+2	22
7	Alanyaspor	15	4	4	7	-2	16
8	Konyaspor	15	4	4	7	-3	16
9	Karagumruk	16	3	7	6	-5	16
10	Erzurumspor	15	5	1	9	-13	16
11	Gaziantep	15	3	6	6	-4	15
12	Goztep	16	3	6	7	-8	15
13	Antalyaspor	16	2	9	5	-9	15
14	Kayserispor	15	4	3	8	-10	15
15	Buyuksehyr	15	4	3	8	-12	15
16	Genclerbirligi	15	4	2	9	-16	14
17	Yeni Malatyaspor	15	2	6	7	-8	12
18	Rizespor	15	2	5	8	-13	11
19	Kasimpasa	15	2	4	9	-10	10
20	Ankaragücü	15	2	3	10	-16	9
21	Denizlispor	15	2	3	10	-20	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.