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Süper Lig

Referee: Atilla Karaoglan

Hatayspor

S T S U S

4–1

Full-time

Ankaragücü

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Ankaragücü

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,7

This season — Süper Lig · 25/24 matches

Win Ø 35%

48%

21%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

56%

46%

Both score Ø 51%

48%

54%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%

19 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

14 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Hatayspor 6. · Ankaragücü 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	25	17	3	5	+31	54
2	Besiktas	25	17	3	5	+30	54
3	Fenerbahce	25	16	3	6	+20	51
4	Trabzonspor	25	14	6	5	+8	48
5	Alanyaspor	25	12	6	7	+16	42
6	Hatayspor	25	12	6	7	+12	42
7	Gaziantep	26	10	10	6	+8	40
8	Karagumruk	25	10	7	8	+5	37
9	Antalyaspor	25	7	12	6	-5	33
10	Goztep	25	8	8	9	+4	32
11	Konyaspor	25	8	7	10	+2	31
12	Sivasspor	24	7	10	7	-1	31
13	Yeni Malatyaspor	26	7	10	9	-2	31
14	Kasimpasa	25	8	5	12	-11	29
15	Rizespor	25	6	9	10	-12	27
16	Kayserispor	25	6	7	12	-13	25
17	Erzurumspor	25	6	7	12	-15	25
18	Buyuksehyr	25	6	6	13	-16	24
19	Denizlispor	26	5	6	15	-23	21
20	Genclerbirligi	25	5	6	14	-25	21
21	Ankaragücü	24	5	5	14	-13	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	13	10	1	2	+23	31
2	Alanyaspor	13	9	2	2	+17	29
3	Galatasaray	12	8	3	1	+22	27
4	Gaziantep	13	7	5	1	+11	26
5	Karagumruk	12	7	2	3	+9	23
6	Fenerbahce	13	7	1	5	+5	22
7	Trabzonspor	12	7	1	4	+2	22
8	Konyaspor	13	5	5	3	+6	20
9	Kasimpasa	13	6	2	5	-3	20
10	Goztep	12	5	4	3	+9	19
11	Hatayspor	12	5	4	3	+6	19
12	Yeni Malatyaspor	13	5	4	4	+3	19
13	Rizespor	12	5	4	3	+1	19
14	Antalyaspor	12	5	4	3	-1	19
15	Sivasspor	12	3	5	4	-1	14
16	Ankaragücü	12	4	2	6	-2	14
17	Buyuksehyr	13	3	5	5	-3	14
18	Kayserispor	12	3	4	5	-4	13
19	Genclerbirligi	13	3	4	6	-8	13
20	Denizlispor	13	3	3	7	-6	12
21	Erzurumspor	13	1	6	6	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	12	9	2	1	+15	29
2	Galatasaray	13	9	0	4	+9	27
3	Trabzonspor	13	7	5	1	+6	26
4	Besiktas	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Hatayspor	13	7	2	4	+6	23
6	Sivasspor	12	4	5	3	+0	17
7	Erzurumspor	12	5	1	6	-7	16
8	Gaziantep	13	3	5	5	-3	14
9	Karagumruk	13	3	5	5	-4	14
10	Antalyaspor	13	2	8	3	-4	14
11	Alanyaspor	12	3	4	5	-1	13
12	Goztep	13	3	4	6	-5	13
13	Yeni Malatyaspor	13	2	6	5	-5	12
14	Kayserispor	13	3	3	7	-9	12
15	Konyaspor	12	3	2	7	-4	11
16	Buyuksehyr	12	3	1	8	-13	10
17	Kasimpasa	12	2	3	7	-8	9
18	Denizlispor	13	2	3	8	-17	9
19	Rizespor	13	1	5	7	-13	8
20	Genclerbirligi	12	2	2	8	-17	8
21	Ankaragücü	12	1	3	8	-11	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.