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Süper Lig
Referee: Fırat Aydınus
Fenerbahce
U S U S S
3–2
Full-time
Kasimpasa
S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Kasimpasa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 34/35 matches
Win Ø 44%
62%
26%
Points per game
2,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
62%
46%
Both score Ø 55%
59%
51%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

61% Possession 39%
21 Shots 11
11 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fenerbahce 3. · Kasimpasa 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 35 23 6 6 +39 75
2 Galatasaray 35 21 6 8 +34 69
3 Fenerbahce 34 21 6 7 +27 69
4 Trabzonspor 36 17 12 7 +11 63
5 Alanyaspor 36 16 8 12 +16 56
6 Hatayspor 35 15 9 11 +14 54
7 Sivasspor 35 12 16 7 +7 52
8 Gaziantep 35 13 12 10 +8 51
9 Karagumruk 35 13 11 11 +7 50
10 Goztep 35 12 11 12 +3 47
11 Konyaspor 35 10 12 13 -3 42
12 Rizespor 35 10 12 13 -11 42
13 Antalyaspor 36 9 15 12 -12 42
14 Yeni Malatyaspor 35 9 13 13 -5 40
15 Ankaragücü 35 10 8 17 -13 38
16 Kasimpasa 35 9 10 16 -14 37
17 Buyuksehyr 35 9 10 16 -16 37
18 Erzurumspor 36 9 10 17 -21 37
19 Kayserispor 35 8 11 16 -19 35
20 Genclerbirligi 35 9 8 18 -25 35
21 Denizlispor 35 6 10 19 -27 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fenerbahce Kasimpasa
1–0 E. Valencia
C. Erkin
15′
21′
H. Hajradinović 1–1
33′
🟨 Isaac Kiese Thelin
2–1 Attila Szalai
M. Yandaş
40′
İrfan Can Kahveci 🟨
42′
Half-time 3–1
3–1 E. Valencia
46′
53′
🔁 A. Koç
↦ G. Koomson
53′
🔁 T. Serbest
↦ K. Bistrović
S. Gümüş 🔁
↦ M. Yandaş
72′
Luiz Gustavo 🔁
↦ O. Tufan
72′
M. Thiam 🔁
↦ E. Valencia
72′
Harun Tekin 🟨
81′
81′
🔁 D. Drinkwater
↦ L. Sadiku
81′
F. Hadërgjonaj 3–2
F. Kadıoğlu 🔁
↦ İ. Kahveci
90′
F. Novák 🔁
↦ D. Pelkas
99′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-1-4-1
15 H. Tekin G
4 S. Aziz D
88 C. Erkin D
35 N. Sangaré D
41 Attila Szalai D
5 J. Sosa M
17 İ. Kahveci M
14 D. Pelkas M
7 O. Tufan M
8 M. Yandaş M
13 E. Valencia F
Bench (10)
29 S. Gümüş
20 Luiz Gustavo
27 M. Thiam
16 F. Kadıoğlu
37 F. Novák
9 P. Cissé
26 M. Tisserand
92 E. Çetin
77 G. Gönül
10 M. Samatta

Coach: Ş. Çorlu

Kasimpasa

4-2-3-1
33 E. Taşkıran G
3 O. Haddadi D
25 T. Břečka D
94 F. Hadërgjonaj D
32 D. Luckassen D
6 L. Sadiku M
10 H. Hajradinović M
21 K. Varga M
26 K. Bistrović M
92 I. Thelin F
14 G. Koomson M
Bench (10)
7 A. Koç
5 T. Serbest
4 D. Drinkwater
55 Y. Dülger
13 D. Tošić
34 D. Haspolat
18 E. Elmalı
23 M. Yıldırım
80 H. Yeşilyurt
1 R. Köse

Coach: S. Çeri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,44
U
4,61
B
6,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,38
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Fırat Aydınus · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.