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Süper Lig
Referee: A Karaoğlan
Ad. Demirspor
S S T S U
3–2
Full-time
Trabzonspor
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Trabzonspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
2,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
60%
20%
Both score Ø 40%
60%
20%
Average goals
3,4
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

36% Possession 64%
19 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 7. · Trabzonspor 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Konyaspor 6 4 2 0 +7 14
2 Buyuksehyr 5 4 1 0 +9 13
3 Besiktas 6 4 1 1 +6 13
4 Galatasaray 6 4 1 1 +3 13
5 Gaziantep 6 3 2 1 +4 11
6 Fenerbahce 5 3 1 1 +9 10
7 Ad. Demirspor 5 3 1 1 +3 10
8 Trabzonspor 5 3 1 1 +1 10
9 Kayserispor 6 3 0 3 +0 9
10 Alanyaspor 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Giresunspor 6 2 1 3 -3 7
12 Antalyaspor 6 2 0 4 -3 6
13 Kasimpasa 6 2 0 4 -9 6
14 Karagumruk 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Sivasspor 6 0 4 2 -5 4
16 İstanbulspor 5 1 1 3 -6 4
17 Ümraniyespor 6 0 2 4 -4 2
18 Hatayspor 5 0 1 4 -4 1
19 Ankaragücü 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ad. Demirspor Trabzonspor
Semih Güler 🟨
-5′
4′
🟨 Jean-Philippe Gbamin
1–0 Kévin Rodrigues
10′
A. Dursun 🔁
↦ Kévin Rodrigues
16′
Yaroslav Rakitskiy 🟨
35′
36′
A. Bakasetas 1–1
45′
🟨 Marc Bartra
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 M. Hamšík
↦ J. Gbamin
46′
🔁 A. Ömür
↦ E. Bardhi
51′
🟨 Enis Bardhi
2–1 P. N'Diaye
Y. Sarı
55′
Yusuf Sarı 🟨
62′
D. Akintola 🔁
↦ Y. Sarı
64′
G. İnler 🔁
↦ B. Stambouli
65′
Birkir Bjarnason 🔁
↦ E. Akbaba
81′
F. Gulbrandsen 🔁
↦ H. Onyekuru
81′
81′
🔁 N. Ünüvar
↦ Trézéguet
84′
U. Bozok 2–2
N. Ünüvar
85′
🟨 Vitor Hugo
Samet Akaydın 🟨
87′
3–2 S. Akaydin
J. Svensson
94′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
25 E. Özbir G
22 J. Svensson D
5 S. Akaydin D
44 Y. Rakitskiy D
77 Kévin Rodrigues D
17 P. N'Diaye M
90 B. Stambouli M
26 Y. Sarı M
20 E. Akbaba M
7 H. Onyekuru M
10 Y. Belhanda F
Bench (10)
3 A. Dursun
11 D. Akintola
88 G. İnler
8 Birkir Bjarnason
23 F. Gulbrandsen
39 V. Karakuş
24 A. Dzyuba
16 İ. Çokçalış
4 S. Güler
9 B. Assombalonga

Coach: V. Montella

Trabzonspor

4-2-3-1
1 U. Çakır G
19 J. Larsen D
3 Marc Bartra D
13 Vitor Hugo D
18 E. Elmalı D
11 A. Bakasetas M
25 J. Gbamin M
27 Trézéguet M
9 U. Bozok M
29 E. Bardhi M
30 M. Gómez F
Bench (10)
17 M. Hamšík
10 A. Ömür
23 N. Ünüvar
54 T. Tepe
32 Y. Erdoğan
34 D. Haspolat
37 E. Gedikli
6 E. Siopis
80 M. Lahtimi
24 S. Denswil

Coach: A. Avcı

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,23
U
3,54
B
3,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,01
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Karaoğlan · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.