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Süper Lig
Referee: Y Uğurlu
Ad. Demirspor
T S U S T
1–3
Full-time
Trabzonspor
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Trabzonspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 53%
42%
64%
Points per game
1,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
48%
52%
Both score Ø 58%
52%
64%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

64% Possession 36%
14 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 0
1 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 5. · Trabzonspor 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 33 21 10 2 +32 73
2 Fenerbahce 34 19 8 7 +29 65
3 Konyaspor 33 18 7 8 +20 61
4 Buyuksehyr 33 16 6 11 +14 54
5 Ad. Demirspor 33 14 10 9 +12 52
6 Alanyaspor 33 15 7 11 +4 52
7 Besiktas 33 13 12 8 +8 51
8 Antalyaspor 33 14 8 11 +4 50
9 Karagumruk 34 14 8 12 -7 50
10 Hatayspor 33 14 7 12 -1 49
11 Kasimpasa 33 12 8 13 +6 44
12 Galatasaray 33 12 8 13 -3 44
13 Sivasspor 33 10 12 11 +0 42
14 Gaziantep 34 11 9 14 -6 42
15 Kayserispor 33 11 9 13 -8 42
16 Giresunspor 34 11 7 16 -5 40
17 Altay 33 8 6 19 -15 30
18 Rizespor 34 8 6 20 -32 30
19 Goztep 34 7 7 20 -20 28
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 33 5 5 23 -32 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ad. Demirspor Trabzonspor
Simon Deli 🟨
2′
7′
Bruno Peres 0–1
12′
A. Cornelius 0–2
E. Višća
30′
🔁 A. Kaplan
↦ Bruno Peres
Half-time 0–2
T. Sanuç 🔁
↦ S. Deli
46′
46′
🔁 Djaniny
↦ J. Kouassi
46′
🔁 A. Bakasetas
↦ A. Ömür
61′
Djaniny 0–3
E. Öztümer 🔁
↦ D. Akintola
70′
A. Uludağ 🔁
↦ J. Rassoul
70′
1–3 M. Vargas
75′
79′
🔁 Y. Erdoğan
↦ E. Višća
L. Rémy 🔁
↦ B. Assombalonga
83′
86′
🟨 Uğurcan Çakır
D. Đoković 🔁
↦ Birkir Bjarnason
88′
88′
🔁 B. Özdemir
↦ M. Hamšík
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
49 A. Murić G
22 J. Svensson D
91 S. Deli D
5 S. Akaydin D
95 J. Rassoul D
67 Birkir Bjarnason M
88 G. İnler M
77 M. Vargas M
11 D. Akintola M
7 B. Assombalonga F
23 Y. Akgün M
Bench (10)
2 T. Sanuç
50 E. Öztümer
25 A. Uludağ
59 L. Rémy
80 D. Đoković
66 İ. Çokçalış
4 S. Güler
8 S. Kurt
39 V. Karakuş
18 M. Kapı

Coach: V. Montella

Trabzonspor

4-1-4-1
1 U. Çakır G
13 Vitor Hugo D
33 Bruno Peres D
24 S. Denswil D
17 M. Hamšík M
18 E. Višća M
6 E. Siopis M
8 D. Toköz D
10 A. Ömür M
77 J. Kouassi M
14 A. Cornelius F
Bench (10)
70 A. Kaplan
21 Djaniny
11 A. Bakasetas
20 Y. Erdoğan
5 B. Özdemir
16 E. Kardeşler
99 S. Asan
19 F. Koita
72 T. Puchacz
23 İ. Köybaşı

Coach: A. Avcı

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,33
U
3,43
B ✓
2,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,03
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Y Uğurlu · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.