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Süper Lig

Referee: A Kardeşler

Ümraniyespor

U T T T

0–1

Full-time

Trabzonspor

S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ümraniyespor Trabzonspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

25%

33%

Both score Ø 29%

25%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

This season — Süper Lig · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

25%

Both score Ø 25%

25%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

7 Shots 23

2 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 5

10 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ümraniyespor 17. · Trabzonspor 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Gaziantep	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Ad. Demirspor	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Konyaspor	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Fenerbahce	4	2	1	1	+7	7
6	Buyuksehyr	3	2	1	0	+6	7
7	Galatasaray	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Trabzonspor	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Kayserispor	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Antalyaspor	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Giresunspor	4	2	0	2	-2	6
12	Alanyaspor	4	1	2	1	+1	5
13	Karagumruk	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	İstanbulspor	4	1	0	3	-6	3
15	Kasimpasa	4	1	0	3	-10	3
16	Sivasspor	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	Ümraniyespor	4	0	1	3	-3	1
18	Ankaragücü	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Hatayspor	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Buyuksehyr	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Gaziantep	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Kayserispor	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Ad. Demirspor	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Trabzonspor	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Antalyaspor	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Karagumruk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Giresunspor	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Kasimpasa	2	1	0	1	-5	3
13	Sivasspor	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Ankaragücü	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Alanyaspor	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Hatayspor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Galatasaray	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Ümraniyespor	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	İstanbulspor	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+4	4
3	Alanyaspor	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Gaziantep	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	+5	3
6	İstanbulspor	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Ad. Demirspor	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Trabzonspor	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Antalyaspor	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Giresunspor	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Besiktas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Buyuksehyr	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Ümraniyespor	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Hatayspor	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Karagumruk	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Kayserispor	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Ankaragücü	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Sivasspor	2	0	0	2	-5	0
19	Kasimpasa	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.