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Süper Lig

Referee: Ç Altay

Sivasspor

U U S U T

1–3

Full-time

Ankaragücü

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sivasspor Ankaragücü

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

25%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,38 xG 1,50

51% Possession 49%

14 Shots 15

9 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

5 Corners 3

7 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sivasspor 12. · Ankaragücü 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	4	4	0	0	+5	+6.1	12
2	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	+7	+4.1	10
3	Rizespor	5	3	1	1	+2	+1.4	10
4	Trabzonspor	5	3	0	2	+5	-0.5	9
5	Kayserispor	5	2	3	0	+3	-0.6	9
6	Ad. Demirspor	4	2	2	0	+4	+1.9	8
7	Konyaspor	5	2	2	1	+2	+0.5	8
8	Alanyaspor	5	1	4	0	+2	+1.1	7
9	Besiktas	4	2	1	1	+0	+2.1	7
10	Hatayspor	4	1	3	0	+4	+0.4	6
11	Kasimpasa	5	1	3	1	-3	+1.3	6
12	Sivasspor	4	1	2	1	+0	-1.0	5
13	Karagumruk	4	1	1	2	+0	-3.2	4
14	Antalyaspor	5	0	3	2	-2	-0.1	3
15	Buyuksehyr	4	1	0	3	-3	+2.8	3
16	Pendikspor	5	0	3	2	-7	-4.1	3
17	Ankaragücü	4	0	2	2	-2	-0.7	2
18	İstanbulspor	3	0	2	1	-2	-3.6	2
19	Samsunspor	4	0	1	3	-5	-0.8	1
20	Gaziantep	5	0	0	5	-10	-7.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Kayserispor	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.3	7
2	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.2	6
3	Ad. Demirspor	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.0	6
4	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.9	6
5	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+2	+4.2	6
6	Alanyaspor	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.3	5
7	Besiktas	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.6	4
8	Konyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.3	4
9	Rizespor	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.5	4
10	Kasimpasa	3	1	1	1	-3	+0.6	4
11	Hatayspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.5	2
12	Antalyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.0	2
13	Sivasspor	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.1	2
14	Ankaragücü	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
15	Karagumruk	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.8	1
16	İstanbulspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-3.0	1
17	Pendikspor	2	0	1	1	-4	-2.6	1
18	Samsunspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
19	Buyuksehyr	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.1	0
20	Gaziantep	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.0	6
2	Rizespor	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.1	6
3	Hatayspor	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.9	4
4	Galatasaray	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.9	4
5	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
6	Trabzonspor	2	1	0	1	+2	-2.4	3
7	Karagumruk	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.4	3
8	Sivasspor	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.0	3
9	Buyuksehyr	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.6	3
10	Besiktas	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.5	3
11	Ad. Demirspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
12	Kasimpasa	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.7	2
13	Kayserispor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.9	2
14	Alanyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
15	Pendikspor	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.6	2
16	İstanbulspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
17	Ankaragücü	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.4	1
18	Antalyaspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.0	1
19	Samsunspor	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.5	1
20	Gaziantep	3	0	0	3	-5	-5.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.