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Ligue 2

Referee: K Abed

Guingamp

S T U S T

3–0

Full-time

Ajaccio

U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,8

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 40%

40%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%

12 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 6

0 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guingamp 12. · Ajaccio 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	6	4	1	1	+4	13
2	Caen	6	4	0	2	+7	12
3	Amiens	6	4	0	2	+1	12
4	Grenoble	6	2	4	0	+3	10
5	Bordeaux	6	3	1	2	-1	10
6	Auxerre	6	2	3	1	+4	9
7	Rodez	6	2	2	2	+2	8
8	Bastia	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	St Etienne	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Pau FC	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Angers	6	2	2	2	-1	8
12	Guingamp	5	2	1	2	+3	7
13	Troyes	6	1	4	1	+1	7
14	Annecy	6	1	4	1	+0	7
15	Paris FC	6	2	0	4	-2	6
16	Ajaccio	5	1	3	1	-2	6
17	Dunkerque	6	1	3	2	-3	6
18	Concarneau	6	1	2	3	-5	5
19	Valenciennes	6	1	2	3	-6	5
20	Quevilly Rouen	6	0	2	4	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Amiens	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Laval	3	3	0	0	+3	9
3	Pau FC	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Paris FC	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Caen	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Rodez	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Bastia	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Bordeaux	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Angers	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Grenoble	3	1	2	0	+2	5
11	Annecy	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Troyes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	St Etienne	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Guingamp	2	1	0	1	+3	3
15	Ajaccio	3	0	3	0	+0	3
16	Auxerre	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Dunkerque	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Concarneau	3	0	2	1	-2	2
19	Quevilly Rouen	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Valenciennes	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Caen	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Grenoble	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Laval	3	1	1	1	+1	4
5	Guingamp	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	St Etienne	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Dunkerque	3	1	1	1	-2	4
8	Bordeaux	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Valenciennes	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Troyes	4	0	3	1	-1	3
11	Ajaccio	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Concarneau	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Angers	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Amiens	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Annecy	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Rodez	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Bastia	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Quevilly Rouen	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Pau FC	3	0	1	2	-6	1
20	Paris FC	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.