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Süper Lig
Referee: A Akarsu
Buyuksehyr
S S S T U
2–2
Full-time
Kasimpasa
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Buyuksehyr Kasimpasa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 34%
40%
27%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
53%
53%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

3,66 xG 1,43
49% Possession 51%
19 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Buyuksehyr 7. · Kasimpasa 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 16 14 2 0 +28 +16.7 44
2 Fenerbahce 16 11 3 2 +25 +17.6 36
3 Samsunspor 16 9 3 4 +12 +9.6 30
4 Goztep 16 8 4 4 +10 +5.9 28
5 Eyüpspor 17 7 6 4 +7 -2.7 27
6 Besiktas 16 7 5 4 +7 +8.1 26
7 Buyuksehyr 15 6 4 5 +4 +3.9 22
8 Gaziantep 16 6 3 7 -2 -3.7 21
9 Antalyaspor 16 6 3 7 -8 -9.1 21
10 Konyaspor 16 5 5 6 -5 -5.4 20
11 Rizespor 16 6 2 8 -9 +2.0 20
12 Trabzonspor 16 4 7 5 +2 -2.2 19
13 Kasimpasa 15 4 7 4 -1 +0.5 19
14 Sivasspor 17 5 4 8 -7 -13.1 19
15 Alanyaspor 16 4 6 6 -3 +0.5 18
16 Kayserispor 16 3 6 7 -16 -7.5 15
17 Bodrumspor 16 4 2 10 -10 -4.4 14
18 Hatayspor 15 1 6 8 -11 -8.0 9
19 Ad. Demirspor 15 1 2 12 -23 -8.5 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Buyuksehyr Kasimpasa
3′
Nuno da Costa 0–1
João Figueiredo ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
7′
1–1 K. Piątek
9′
30′
🟨 Cláudio Winck
2–1 K. Piątek
42′
Half-time 2–1
Davidson 🔁
↦ P. Szysz
60′
68′
G. Gül 2–2
H. Hajradinović
69′
🟨 Nuno Da Costa
71′
🔁 J. Espinoza
↦ Cláudio Winck
71′
🔁 A. Kara
↦ A. Barák
João Figueiredo 🟨
85′
Ö. Beyaz 🔁
↦ O. Kemen
86′
86′
🔁 S. Çiftpınar
↦ M. Fall
88′
🟨 Yasin Özcan
91′
🔁 E. Çetinkaya
↦ Nuno da Costa
91′
🔁 Cafú
↦ H. Hajradinović
Hamza Güreler 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Erdem Çetinkaya
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Buyuksehyr

4-3-3
16 M. Şengezer G
4 O. Ergün D
5 Léo Duarte D
15 H. Güreler D
6 Lucas Lima D
8 O. Kemen M
2 B. Özdemir M
13 Miguel Crespo M
18 P. Szysz F
9 K. Piątek F
25 João Figueiredo F
Bench (7)
91 Davidson
17 Ö. Beyaz
1 V. Babacan
75 E. Kaplan
98 D. Dilmen
14 D. Pelkas
22 Matchoi Djaló

Coach: Ç. Atan

Kasimpasa

4-1-4-1
1 A. Gianniotis G
2 Cláudio Winck D
20 N. Opoku D
58 Y. Özcan D
12 M. Ben Ouanes D
6 G. Gül M
7 M. Fall M
10 H. Hajradinović M
72 A. Barák M
9 J. Brekalo M
18 Nuno da Costa F
Bench (10)
14 J. Espinoza
35 A. Kara
5 S. Çiftpınar
11 E. Çetinkaya
8 Cafú
27 B. Özden
15 Y. Suakar
25 A. Yanar
29 T. Aydın
23 S. Alkaş

Coach: H. Keleş

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,08
U ✓
3,48
B
3,38
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,95
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Akarsu · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.