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Süper Lig

Referee: D Tonusluoğlu

Hatayspor

S U U T U

1–3

Full-time

Ad. Demirspor

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Ad. Demirspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 7%

Points per game

0,6

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

40%

67%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,5

3,1

Scored

0,9

0,8

Conceded

1,6

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,15 xG 1,10

51% Possession 49%

15 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 5

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 6

6 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 9

5 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hatayspor 18. · Ad. Demirspor 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	16	14	2	0	+28	+16.7	44
2	Fenerbahce	16	11	3	2	+25	+17.6	36
3	Samsunspor	16	9	3	4	+12	+9.6	30
4	Goztep	16	8	4	4	+10	+5.9	28
5	Eyüpspor	17	7	6	4	+7	-2.7	27
6	Besiktas	16	7	5	4	+7	+8.1	26
7	Buyuksehyr	15	6	4	5	+4	+3.9	22
8	Gaziantep	16	6	3	7	-2	-3.7	21
9	Antalyaspor	16	6	3	7	-8	-9.1	21
10	Konyaspor	16	5	5	6	-5	-5.4	20
11	Rizespor	16	6	2	8	-9	+2.0	20
12	Trabzonspor	16	4	7	5	+2	-2.2	19
13	Kasimpasa	15	4	7	4	-1	+0.5	19
14	Sivasspor	17	5	4	8	-7	-13.1	19
15	Alanyaspor	16	4	6	6	-3	+0.5	18
16	Kayserispor	16	3	6	7	-16	-7.5	15
17	Bodrumspor	16	4	2	10	-10	-4.4	14
18	Hatayspor	15	1	6	8	-11	-8.0	9
19	Ad. Demirspor	15	1	2	12	-23	-8.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	7	2	0	+12	+13.3	23
2	Goztep	8	7	1	0	+14	+5.1	22
3	Fenerbahce	7	6	0	1	+12	+9.4	18
4	Eyüpspor	8	5	2	1	+9	+1.6	17
5	Gaziantep	8	5	2	1	+8	+1.1	17
6	Besiktas	8	5	1	2	+4	+5.7	16
7	Antalyaspor	8	5	1	2	+1	-2.5	16
8	Buyuksehyr	7	4	3	0	+11	+5.4	15
9	Trabzonspor	8	4	3	1	+7	+1.2	15
10	Samsunspor	8	4	2	2	+6	+6.2	14
11	Alanyaspor	8	3	3	2	+3	+2.7	12
12	Sivasspor	9	3	3	3	+0	-5.5	12
13	Rizespor	8	3	2	3	-1	+3.4	11
14	Bodrumspor	8	3	1	4	+2	-0.8	10
15	Konyaspor	7	2	4	1	+1	+1.2	10
16	Hatayspor	8	1	4	3	-3	-2.2	7
17	Kasimpasa	8	1	3	4	-5	+0.5	6
18	Kayserispor	8	1	3	4	-10	-3.3	6
19	Ad. Demirspor	8	1	0	7	-12	-2.0	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	7	0	0	+16	+3.4	21
2	Fenerbahce	9	5	3	1	+13	+8.2	18
3	Samsunspor	8	5	1	2	+6	+3.4	16
4	Kasimpasa	7	3	4	0	+4	-0.0	13
5	Besiktas	8	2	4	2	+3	+2.5	10
6	Eyüpspor	9	2	4	3	-2	-4.3	10
7	Konyaspor	9	3	1	5	-6	-6.5	10
8	Kayserispor	8	2	3	3	-6	-4.2	9
9	Rizespor	8	3	0	5	-8	-1.4	9
10	Sivasspor	8	2	1	5	-7	-7.6	7
11	Buyuksehyr	8	2	1	5	-7	-1.6	7
12	Goztep	8	1	3	4	-4	+0.7	6
13	Alanyaspor	8	1	3	4	-6	-2.2	6
14	Antalyaspor	8	1	2	5	-9	-6.6	5
15	Trabzonspor	8	0	4	4	-5	-3.4	4
16	Gaziantep	8	1	1	6	-10	-4.8	4
17	Bodrumspor	8	1	1	6	-12	-3.5	4
18	Hatayspor	7	0	2	5	-8	-5.8	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	7	0	2	5	-11	-6.5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.