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Süper Lig

Referee: B Pakkan

Sivasspor

T S S S T

0–0

Full-time

Kasimpasa

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sivasspor Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,3

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

2,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 34%

42%

25%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

67%

58%

Both score Ø 63%

58%

67%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,02 xG 1,14

34% Possession 66%

11 Shots 19

5 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 8

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

22 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sivasspor 7. · Kasimpasa 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	12	11	1	0	+22	+11.2	34
2	Fenerbahce	12	9	2	1	+22	+16.7	29
3	Samsunspor	12	8	1	3	+11	+6.4	25
4	Eyüpspor	13	6	4	3	+6	+0.4	22
5	Besiktas	11	6	3	2	+9	+7.8	21
6	Goztep	11	5	3	3	+6	+2.9	18
7	Sivasspor	12	5	2	5	-3	-9.9	17
8	Buyuksehyr	12	4	4	4	+0	+1.1	16
9	Rizespor	12	5	1	6	-8	-0.8	16
10	Gaziantep	12	4	3	5	+0	-2.4	15
11	Kasimpasa	12	3	5	4	-3	+0.8	14
12	Konyaspor	12	4	2	6	-6	-3.7	14
13	Antalyaspor	12	4	2	6	-9	-8.3	14
14	Trabzonspor	11	2	6	3	-2	-2.8	12
15	Kayserispor	12	2	6	4	-9	-6.3	12
16	Bodrumspor	13	3	2	8	-7	-4.3	11
17	Alanyaspor	11	2	4	5	-5	+0.8	10
18	Hatayspor	11	1	3	7	-8	-5.3	6
19	Ad. Demirspor	11	0	2	9	-16	-4.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	6	1	0	+11	+9.2	19
2	Goztep	6	5	1	0	+9	+2.9	16
3	Eyüpspor	6	4	1	1	+6	+1.3	13
4	Fenerbahce	5	4	0	1	+8	+8.5	12
5	Besiktas	5	4	0	1	+5	+6.2	12
6	Gaziantep	6	3	2	1	+5	+0.5	11
7	Samsunspor	6	3	1	2	+2	+3.8	10
8	Sivasspor	6	3	1	2	+1	-3.7	10
9	Antalyaspor	6	3	1	2	-2	-3.0	10
10	Buyuksehyr	5	2	3	0	+5	+2.1	9
11	Trabzonspor	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.6	8
12	Konyaspor	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.8	8
13	Bodrumspor	7	2	1	4	+0	-2.0	7
14	Rizespor	6	2	1	3	-4	-0.2	7
15	Alanyaspor	6	1	3	2	-1	+1.2	6
16	Hatayspor	6	1	2	3	-3	-1.3	5
17	Kasimpasa	7	0	3	4	-7	+0.1	3
18	Kayserispor	6	0	3	3	-8	-4.0	3
19	Ad. Demirspor	6	0	0	6	-12	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	7	5	2	0	+14	+8.2	17
2	Galatasaray	5	5	0	0	+11	+2.0	15
3	Samsunspor	6	5	0	1	+9	+2.6	15
4	Kasimpasa	5	3	2	0	+4	+0.6	11
5	Besiktas	6	2	3	1	+4	+1.6	9
6	Eyüpspor	7	2	3	2	+0	-1.0	9
7	Kayserispor	6	2	3	1	-1	-2.3	9
8	Rizespor	6	3	0	3	-4	-0.6	9
9	Sivasspor	6	2	1	3	-4	-6.2	7
10	Buyuksehyr	7	2	1	4	-5	-1.0	7
11	Konyaspor	7	2	0	5	-7	-4.6	6
12	Trabzonspor	6	0	4	2	-3	-2.2	4
13	Alanyaspor	5	1	1	3	-4	-0.4	4
14	Gaziantep	6	1	1	4	-5	-3.0	4
15	Antalyaspor	6	1	1	4	-7	-5.3	4
16	Bodrumspor	6	1	1	4	-7	-2.4	4
17	Goztep	5	0	2	3	-3	-0.0	2
18	Ad. Demirspor	5	0	2	3	-4	-2.8	2
19	Hatayspor	5	0	1	4	-5	-4.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.