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Super League
Aris
U U T S U
4–2
Full-time
PAOK
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,0
This season — Super League · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 51%
31%
71%
Points per game
1,4
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
50%
65%
Both score Ø 61%
63%
59%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,6
2,2
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

5 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 5
19 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris 8. · PAOK 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 17 12 5 0 +27 41
2 PAOK 17 12 5 0 +22 41
3 AEK 17 8 5 4 +8 29
4 OFI Crete 19 8 3 8 +7 27
5 Larisa 17 7 4 6 +0 25
6 Volos NFC 19 7 3 9 -14 24
7 Panathinaikos 18 5 8 5 -6 23
8 Aris 16 5 7 4 +7 22
9 Aris Thessalonikis 16 5 7 4 +7 22
10 Atromitos 17 5 5 7 -2 20
11 Lamia 17 4 8 5 -6 20
12 Xanthi 17 6 2 9 -10 20
13 Asteras Tripolis 17 4 3 10 -5 15
14 Panionios 17 3 4 10 -16 13
15 Panetolikos 17 1 5 11 -19 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Sep -19 PAOK – Aris 2–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,65
U
3,12
B
2,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,29
U2,5
1,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.