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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Del Cerro

Espanol

U T T U T

2–2

Full-time

Barcelona

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,3

This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 39%

11%

67%

Points per game

0,6

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

44%

72%

Both score Ø 53%

44%

61%

Average goals

2,6

3,8

Scored

0,7

2,6

Conceded

1,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

31% Possession 69%

8 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Espanol 20. · Barcelona 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	19	11	7	1	+24	40
2	Barcelona	18	12	3	3	+26	39
3	Ath Madrid	19	9	8	2	+10	35
4	Sevilla	19	10	5	4	+6	35
5	Sociedad	18	9	4	5	+9	31
6	Valencia	19	8	7	4	+4	31
7	Getafe	19	8	6	5	+6	30
8	Ath Bilbao	19	7	8	4	+7	29
9	Levante	19	8	2	9	-3	26
10	Villarreal	18	7	4	7	+6	25
11	Granada	18	7	3	8	-1	24
12	Osasuna	18	5	8	5	+1	23
13	Betis	18	6	5	7	-6	23
14	Valladolid	19	4	9	6	-6	21
15	Alaves	18	5	4	9	-9	19
16	Eibar	19	5	4	10	-11	19
17	Mallorca	18	4	3	11	-14	15
18	Celta	18	3	5	10	-13	14
19	Leganes	19	3	5	11	-14	14
20	Espanol	18	2	4	12	-22	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	8	1	0	+24	25
2	Real Madrid	9	6	3	0	+14	21
3	Ath Madrid	10	6	3	1	+8	21
4	Ath Bilbao	9	6	2	1	+10	20
5	Valencia	10	5	5	0	+7	20
6	Getafe	10	5	3	2	+7	18
7	Levante	9	5	2	2	+5	17
8	Betis	10	5	2	3	+3	17
9	Villarreal	9	4	4	1	+8	16
10	Granada	9	5	1	3	+5	16
11	Alaves	9	4	3	2	+6	15
12	Sevilla	9	4	3	2	+3	15
13	Sociedad	8	4	2	2	+8	14
14	Mallorca	10	4	2	4	+0	14
15	Osasuna	9	3	4	2	+3	13
16	Valladolid	9	2	6	1	+4	12
17	Eibar	9	4	0	5	-4	12
18	Leganes	10	3	1	6	-4	10
19	Celta	9	2	3	4	-4	9
20	Espanol	9	0	2	7	-13	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	10	6	2	2	+3	20
2	Real Madrid	10	5	4	1	+10	19
3	Sociedad	10	5	2	3	+1	17
4	Barcelona	9	4	2	3	+2	14
5	Ath Madrid	9	3	5	1	+2	14
6	Getafe	9	3	3	3	-1	12
7	Valencia	9	3	2	4	-3	11
8	Osasuna	9	2	4	3	-2	10
9	Villarreal	9	3	0	6	-2	9
10	Ath Bilbao	10	1	6	3	-3	9
11	Levante	10	3	0	7	-8	9
12	Valladolid	10	2	3	5	-10	9
13	Granada	9	2	2	5	-6	8
14	Espanol	9	2	2	5	-9	8
15	Eibar	10	1	4	5	-7	7
16	Betis	8	1	3	4	-9	6
17	Celta	9	1	2	6	-9	5
18	Leganes	9	0	4	5	-10	4
19	Alaves	9	1	1	7	-15	4
20	Mallorca	8	0	1	7	-14	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.