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Super League
Referee: A Papapetrou
PAOK
T S S T U
0–1
Full-time
Olympiakos
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,7
This season — Super League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 72%
64%
79%
Points per game
2,1
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 45%
54%
36%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,9
2,1
Conceded
1,0
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
5 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
24 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 2. · Olympiakos 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 28 22 6 0 +47 72
2 PAOK 28 18 6 4 +25 60
3 AEK 28 16 7 5 +21 55
4 Panathinaikos 28 12 9 7 +8 45
5 OFI Crete 30 11 5 14 -2 38
6 Aris 27 9 10 8 +8 37
7 Aris Thessalonikis 27 9 10 8 +8 37
8 Atromitos 28 10 6 12 -4 36
9 Asteras Tripolis 29 9 7 13 -4 34
10 Larisa 29 8 10 11 -5 34
11 Xanthi 28 8 6 14 -13 30
12 Volos NFC 29 8 6 15 -23 30
13 Lamia 28 5 14 9 -14 29
14 Panionios 29 5 6 18 -30 21
15 Panetolikos 28 4 8 16 -22 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK Olympiakos
23′
Y. El-Arabi 0–1
M. Valbuena
Half-time 0–1
F. Varela 🟨
48′
66′
🟨 K. Tsimikas
D. Pelkas 🔁
↦ D. Biseswar
67′
K. Świderski 🔁
↦ O. El Kaddouri
68′
72′
🔁 L. Ranđelović
↦ G. Masouras
Rodrigo Alves 🔁
↦ Léo Matos
73′
A. Esiti 🔁
↦ Maurício
74′
C. Tzolis 🔁
↦ C. Akpom
74′
75′
🔁 P. Cissé
↦ O. Ba
77′
🟨 L. Randjelovic
83′
🔁 K. Fortounis
↦ M. Valbuena
84′
🔁 Koka
↦ Y. El-Arabi
84′
🔁 Bruno Gaspar
↦ M. Camara
92′
🟨 Jose Sa
96′
🟨 B. Gaspar
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
31 A. Paschalakis G
3 Léo Matos D
5 Fernando Varela D
6 E. Mihaj D
21 D. Biseswar M
20 Vieirinha M
7 O. El Kaddouri M
8 Maurício M
27 J. Mišić M
47 C. Akpom F
18 D. Limnios M
Bench (9)
10 D. Pelkas
9 K. Świderski
2 Rodrigo Alves
24 A. Esiti
68 C. Tzolis
22 L. Lamprou
99 M. Stoch
88 Ž. Živković
49 I. Michailidis

Coach: Abel Ferreira

Olympiakos

4-3-3
1 José Sá G
14 O. Elabdellaoui D
3 Rúben Semedo D
21 K. Tsimikas D
24 O. Ba
28 M. Valbuena M
8 Guilherme M
5 A. Bouchalakis M
19 G. Masouras M
4 M. Camara M
11 Y. El-Arabi F
Bench (9)
97 L. Ranđelović
66 P. Cissé
7 K. Fortounis
99 Koka
76 Bruno Gaspar
16 B. Allain
34 A. Papadopoulos
22 M. Lovera
26 Cafú

Coach: Pedro Martins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,46
U
3,15
B ✓
2,82
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,19
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Papapetrou · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.