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Bundesliga
Referee: B Cortus
Augsburg
T T S U T
1–1
Full-time
FC Koln
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 31%
28%
34%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
62%
76%
Both score Ø 61%
59%
62%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
18 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 14. · FC Koln 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 30 22 4 4 +60 70
2 Dortmund 30 19 6 5 +46 63
3 RB Leipzig 30 16 11 3 +43 59
4 M'gladbach 30 17 5 8 +21 56
5 Leverkusen 30 17 5 8 +16 56
6 Wolfsburg 30 12 9 9 +6 45
7 Hoffenheim 30 12 7 11 -8 43
8 Freiburg 30 11 8 11 -2 41
9 Hertha 30 10 8 12 -8 38
10 Schalke 04 30 9 11 10 -12 38
11 Ein Frankfurt 30 10 5 15 -6 35
12 FC Koln 29 10 4 15 -10 34
13 Union Berlin 30 9 5 16 -18 32
14 Augsburg 29 8 7 14 -16 31
15 Mainz 30 9 4 17 -23 31
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 30 6 10 14 -27 28
17 Werder Bremen 30 6 7 17 -33 25
18 Paderborn 30 4 8 18 -29 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg FC Koln
15′
🟨 B. Schmitz
25′
🟨 M. Uth
F. Niederlechner
penalty missed
27′
28′
🔁 B. Schmitz
↦ N. Katterbach
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Skhiri
↦ M. Hoger
R. Framberger 🟨
51′
71′
🔁 M. Uth
↦ E. Rexhbecaj
R. Vargas 🔁
↦ E. Lowen
76′
F. Niederlechner 🔁
↦ A. Finnbogason
76′
82′
🔁 J. Cordoba
↦ A. Modeste
85′
A. Modeste 0–1
I. Jakobs
1–1 P. Max
R. Framberger
88′
90′
🟨 J. Hector
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
1 Andreas Luthe G
32 Raphael Framberger D
18 Tin Jedvaj D
19 Felix Uduokhai D
31 Philipp Max D
8 Rani Khedira M
25 Carlos Gruezo M
16 Ruben Vargas M
23 Marco Richter M
17 Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee M
7 Florian Niederlechner F
Bench (9)
21 Tomáš Koubek
6 Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
2 Stephan Lichtsteiner
36 Reece Oxford
5 Marek Suchý
29 Eduard Löwen
34 Georg Teigl
27 Alfreð Finnbogason
20 Julian Schieber

FC Koln

4-2-3-1
1 Timo Horn G
19 Kingsley Ehizibue D
37 Toni Leistner D
5 Rafael Czichos D
2 Benno Schmitz D
28 Ellyes Skhiri M
14 Jonas Hector M
30 Florian Kainz M
23 Mark Uth M
38 Ismail Jakobs M
15 Jhon Córdoba F
Bench (9)
18 Thomas Kessler
34 Noah Katterbach
22 Jorge Mere
6 Marco Höger
11 Kingsley Schindler
20 Elvis Rexhbecaj
27 Anthony Modeste
29 Jan Thielmann
25 Tim Lemperle

Coach: M. Gisdol

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U ✓
3,51
B
2,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,72
U2,5 ✓
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Cortus · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.