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Super League

Referee: T Tzilos

AEK

S S S S U

1–1

Full-time

Panathinaikos

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Panathinaikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,7

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

0,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,3

This season — Super League · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 50%

57%

43%

Points per game

2,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

43%

36%

Both score Ø 41%

43%

39%

Average goals

2,4

2,2

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

10 Shots 5

2 Shots on target 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 1

3 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 3. · Panathinaikos 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	29	23	6	0	+48	75
2	PAOK	29	18	6	5	+24	60
3	AEK	28	16	7	5	+21	55
4	Panathinaikos	28	12	9	7	+8	45
5	OFI Crete	30	11	5	14	-2	38
6	Aris	27	9	10	8	+8	37
7	Aris Thessalonikis	27	9	10	8	+8	37
8	Atromitos	28	10	6	12	-4	36
9	Asteras Tripolis	29	9	7	13	-4	34
10	Larisa	29	8	10	11	-5	34
11	Xanthi	28	8	6	14	-13	30
12	Volos NFC	29	8	6	15	-23	30
13	Lamia	28	5	14	9	-14	29
14	Panionios	29	5	6	18	-30	21
15	Panetolikos	28	4	8	16	-22	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	13	1	0	+29	40
2	PAOK	15	10	3	2	+18	33
3	AEK	14	9	4	1	+18	31
4	OFI Crete	14	9	2	3	+15	29
5	Panathinaikos	14	8	3	3	+13	27
6	Aris	14	8	2	4	+14	26
7	Aris Thessalonikis	14	8	2	4	+14	26
8	Asteras Tripolis	14	6	5	3	+7	23
9	Volos NFC	14	6	3	5	-2	21
10	Atromitos	14	5	5	4	+5	20
11	Larisa	15	5	4	6	+1	19
12	Lamia	14	3	9	2	-2	18
13	Xanthi	14	4	5	5	+0	17
14	Panionios	15	4	5	6	-1	17
15	Panetolikos	14	4	5	5	-2	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	15	10	5	0	+19	35
2	PAOK	14	8	3	3	+6	27
3	AEK	14	7	3	4	+3	24
4	Panathinaikos	14	4	6	4	-5	18
5	Atromitos	14	5	1	8	-9	16
6	Larisa	14	3	6	5	-6	15
7	Xanthi	14	4	1	9	-13	13
8	Aris	13	1	8	4	-6	11
9	Aris Thessalonikis	13	1	8	4	-6	11
10	Asteras Tripolis	15	3	2	10	-11	11
11	Lamia	14	2	5	7	-12	11
12	OFI Crete	16	2	3	11	-17	9
13	Volos NFC	15	2	3	10	-21	9
14	Panionios	14	1	1	12	-29	4
15	Panetolikos	14	0	3	11	-20	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.